Matteo Gigante vs Lorenzo Giustino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rome Challenger Men Matteo Gigante - Lorenzo Giustino
Result
2:1
22/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
51
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
63%57%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (37/51)65% (28/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (16/30)38% (12/32)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
35% (15/43)27% (14/51)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (20/32)47% (14/30)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
65% (53/81)53% (40/75)
Return Points Won
47% (35/75)35% (28/81)
Total Points Won
56% (88/156)44% (68/156)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)58% (7/12)
Return Games Won
42% (5/12)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
63% (15/24)38% (9/24)

Chances of winning


Matteo Gigante
59%
Lorenzo Giustino
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Gigante's performance.
  • Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Gigante that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Gigante - Lorenzo Giustino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (2)

    2.26
    (1.73)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Gigante - Lorenzo Giustino?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gigante will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Giustino will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gigante: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Matteo Gigante will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gigante is ranked ATP: 200. Giustino is ranked ATP: 303.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Gigante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Gigante
    Latest results of Lorenzo Giustino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Sultanov K.2 : 1
    2Roca Batalla O.Prihodko O. (Q)1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A.Vasami J. (WC)2 : 1
    4Bertola R. (Alt)Bouquier A. (6)2 : 0
    5Skatov T. (4)Cornut-Chauvinc A.2 : 0
    6Jubb P.Travaglia S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Hardt N.Pokorny L. (Q)0 : 2
    8Poljicak M. (Alt)Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    9Arnaboldi F. (8)Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 1
    10Shelbayh A.Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    11Kopp S. (Q)Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    12Brunold M. (Q)Habib H. (3)0 : 2
    13Gigante M. (7)Giustino L.2 : 1
    14Coppejans K. (Q)Stricker D.2 : 0
    15Maestrelli F. (Alt)Squire H.2 : 1
    16Carboni L. (WC)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Prihodko O.2 : 0
    2Pellegrino A.Bertola R.2 : 1
    3Skatov T. (WO.) (4)Travaglia S.
    4Pokorny L.Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    5Arnaboldi F. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    6Kopp S.Habib H. (3)2 : 0
    7Gigante M. (7)Coppejans K.2 : 1
    8Maestrelli F.Carboni L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Pellegrino A.2 : 1
    2Skatov T. (4)Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    3Arnaboldi F. (8)Kopp S.0 : 2
    4Gigante M. (7)Maestrelli F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Neumayer L. (5)2 : 1
    2Kopp S.Gigante M. (WO.) (7)

    Final
    1Gaubas V. (1)Gigante M. (7)1 : 2