Matteo Gribaldo vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 7, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


Matteo Gribaldo
14.9%
Luca Castagnola
85.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 79.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Gribaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Gribaldo's form might have worsened.
  • Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Castagnola's recent form is better than expected.
  • Matteo Gribaldo - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.24
    (4.47)

    1.09
    (1.18)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gribaldo is ranked ATP: 1941. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 670.
    • Castagnola's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Castagnola is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Gribaldo
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Donnet E. (1)Sickenberger T.0 : 2
    2de Marchi A.M'Chich A.2 : 1
    3Rybkin S.Massellani S.0 : 2
    4Mikovic M.Ostapenkov D. (RET.) (8)1 : 0
    5Bennani R. (RET.) (3)Sahtali T.0 : 0
    6Rivet M.Branger L.1 : 2
    7Herrmann T. (RET.)Becroft I.0 : 1
    8Gribaldo M.Castagnola L. (6)0 : 2
    9Sakellaridis D. (7)Mecarelli M.0 : 2
    10Tikhomirov M.Barsukov N.0 : 2
    11Corbinais S.Dullinger V.2 : 1
    12Rapagnetta D.Kivattsev K. (4)0 : 2
    13Lee K. (RET.) (5)Marino P.0 : 0
    14Vankan M.Trifi A.0 : 2
    15Shepp A.Longwe-Smit T.2 : 0
    16Karol M.Zhukov M. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sickenberger T.de Marchi A.0 : 2
    2Massellani S.Mikovic M.1 : 2
    3Sahtali T.Branger L.2 : 0
    4Becroft I.Castagnola L. (6)1 : 2
    5Mecarelli M.Barsukov N.0 : 2
    6Corbinais S.Kivattsev K. (4)0 : 2
    7Marino P.Trifi A.1 : 2
    8Shepp A.Karol M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1de Marchi A.Mikovic M.2 : 0
    2Sahtali T.Castagnola L. (6)2 : 1
    3Barsukov N.Kivattsev K. (4)2 : 0
    4Trifi A.Shepp A.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1de Marchi A.Sahtali T.2 : 0
    2Barsukov N.Trifi A.2 : 1

    Final
    1de Marchi A.Barsukov N.0 : 2