Result
1:2
09/03/2026 at 11:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 82% | 86% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (51/73) | 82% (55/67) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 3/5 | 0/1 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 18% (12/67) | 30% (22/73) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 44% (7/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/1 | 2/5 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 100% (6/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (60/89) | 77% (60/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (18/78) | 33% (29/89) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (78/167) | 53% (89/167) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 93% (13/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 52% (15/29) |
Chances of winning
Keegan Smith
55.7% | Matteo Martineau
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Keegan Smith - Matteo Martineau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.54) |
|
2.13 ↓
(2.34) |
6.9%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Keegan Smith - Matteo Martineau?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Martineau will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Sets - Smith (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Smith is ranked ATP: 306. Martineau is ranked ATP: 326.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Smith won against Matteo Martineau?
Keegan Smith has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Martineau won against Keegan Smith?
Matteo Martineau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keegan Smith - Matteo Martineau were as follows:
01.03.2026
Matteo Martineau
-
Keegan Smith
0:2
Latest results of Keegan Smith
Latest results of Matteo Martineau
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bertola R. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Faurel T. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sels J. | Blancaneaux G. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Lokoli L. (WC) | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Glinka D. (4) | Added D. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Krumich M. | Cassone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Smith K. | Martineau M. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Kotov P. | Chidekh C. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Rodionov J. (5) | Janvier M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Knaff A. (LL) | Visker N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Onclin G. | Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Paris T. | Poullain L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Tabur C. (7) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Ghibaudo A. (Q) | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Perot R. (Alt) | Romano F. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Brady P. (Q) | Herbert P. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Bertola R. | Holmgren A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Blancaneaux G. | Gojo B. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Added D. | Cassone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Martineau M. | Kotov P. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rodionov J. (5) | Knaff A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Onclin G. | Poullain L. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Tabur C. (7) | Ghibaudo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Romano F. | Brady P. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bertola R. | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Kotov P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rodionov J. (5) | Onclin G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tabur C. (7) | Romano F. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gojo B. (8) | Kotov P. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Rodionov J. (5) | Romano F. | 1 : 2 |
Final
