Matteo Martineau vs Luca Van Assche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Thionville Challenger Men Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche
Result
1:2
06/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
55
1st Serve Percentage
53%64%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (24/41)71% (41/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (14/36)38% (12/32)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
31% (18/58)44% (18/41)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (20/32)61% (22/36)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
50% (38/76)59% (53/90)
Return Points Won
41% (37/90)50% (38/76)
Total Points Won
45% (75/166)55% (91/166)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (6/12)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)50% (6/12)
Total Games Won
40% (10/25)60% (15/25)

Chances of winning


Matteo Martineau
36%
Luca Van Assche
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.
  • Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.21)

    1.46
    (1.6)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martineau is ranked ATP: 263. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 157.
    • Martineau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Van Assche is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Van Assche will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Martineau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche 0:2
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Jubb P.2 : 0
    2Ruusuvuori E.Bobichon M. (Q)2 : 0
    3Paris T. (WC)Escoffier A.2 : 1
    4Dougaz A.Shimizu Y. (5)2 : 0
    5Draxl L. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    6Zhukayev B.Rehberg M. H. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Balshaw F. (WC)Hassan B.0 : 2
    8Onclin G.Kachmazov A. (7)0 : 2
    9Droguet T. (6)Squire H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Broska F. (Q)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    11Added D. (WC)Martineau M.1 : 2
    12Grenier H.van Assche L. (3)0 : 2
    13Choinski J. (8)Henning P. (Q)2 : 0
    14Yevseyev D. (Alt)Gueymard Wayenburg S.1 : 2
    15Rodionov J.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    16Paul J. (Q)Blockx A. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Ruusuvuori E. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Paris T.Dougaz A.0 : 2
    3Draxl L. (4)Zhukayev B.2 : 1
    4Hassan B.Kachmazov A. (7)1 : 2
    5Droguet T. (6)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    6Martineau M.van Assche L. (3)1 : 2
    7Choinski J. (8)Gueymard Wayenburg S.2 : 0
    8Rodionov J.Paul J.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Dougaz A.2 : 0
    2Draxl L. (4)Kachmazov A. (7)1 : 2
    3Bouquier A. (WO.)van Assche L. (3)
    4Choinski J. (8)Rodionov J.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Kachmazov A. (7)2 : 1
    2Bouquier A.Rodionov J.2 : 1

    Final
    1Coric B. (1)Bouquier A.2 : 0