Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
53
1st serve percentage
66%77%
1st serve points won
58% (37/64)60% (36/60)
2nd serve points won
48% (16/33)50% (9/18)
Break Points Saved
5/102/6
1st return points won
40% (24/60)42% (27/64)
2nd return points won
50% (9/18)52% (17/33)
Break Points Converted
4/65/10
Service Points Won
55% (53/97)58% (45/78)
Return Points Won
42% (33/78)45% (44/97)
Total Points Won
49% (86/175)51% (89/175)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
62% (8/13)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)38% (5/13)
Total games won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Matteo Martineau
45.7%
Michele Ribecai
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.
  • Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michele Ribecai's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michele Ribecai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matteo Martineau - Michele Ribecai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.68)

    1.71
    (2.07)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Martineau - Michele Ribecai?
  • Users Predictions: Michele Ribecai will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Michele Ribecai will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martineau is ranked ATP: 348. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 389.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Latest results of Michele Ribecai
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2