Matteo Martineau vs Rafael Jodar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Segovia Challenger Men Matteo Martineau - Rafael Jodar
Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
72%66%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (62/81)73% (59/81)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)63% (26/41)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
27% (22/81)26% (21/81)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (15/41)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)22% (2/9)
Winners
2448
Unforced Errors
5045
Net Points Won
71% (10/14)88% (14/16)
Service Points Won
67% (76/113)70% (85/122)
Return Points Won
30% (37/122)33% (37/113)
Total Points Won
48% (113/235)52% (122/235)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Matteo Martineau
31.7%
Rafael Jodar
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.
  • Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Matteo Martineau - Rafael Jodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.47)

    1.37
    (1.51)
    7.1%
    (6.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Martineau is ranked ATP: 276. Jodar is ranked ATP: 532.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Jodar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ajdukovic D. (1)Shah A. (NG)1 : 2
    2Purtseladze S.Sultanov K.2 : 1
    3Bertrand R.Cui J.2 : 0
    4Soto M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Dougaz A. (3)Catry R. (Q)2 : 1
    6Sun F.Alvarez Varona N.0 : 2
    7Alves M.Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)0 : 2
    8Reymond A. (Q)Monday J. (5)0 : 2
    9Escoffier A. (8)Echeverria J. (Q)2 : 1
    10Shelbayh A. (Q)Butvilas E.0 : 2
    11Coulibaly E.Brancaccio R. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Soriano Barrera A. (Q)Bouquier A. (4)2 : 1
    13Chidekh C. (7)Martineau M.1 : 2
    14Jodar R. (WC)Wiskandt M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Peniston R.Loffhagen G.0 : 2
    16Gonzalez Fernandez M. (WC)Grenier H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shah A.Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    2Bertrand R.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    3Dougaz A. (3)Alvarez Varona N. (WO.)
    4Montes-De La Torre I.Monday J. (5)1 : 2
    5Escoffier A. (8)Butvilas E.1 : 2
    6Brancaccio R.Soriano Barrera A.1 : 2
    7Martineau M.Jodar R.1 : 2
    8Loffhagen G.Grenier H. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Shah A.Crawford O. (6)2 : 0
    2Alvarez Varona N.Monday J. (5)2 : 0
    3Butvilas E.Soriano Barrera A.2 : 0
    4Jodar R.Loffhagen G.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Shah A.Alvarez Varona N.1 : 2
    2Butvilas E.Loffhagen G.1 : 2

    Final
    1Alvarez Varona N.Loffhagen G.1 : 2