Matthew Dellavedova vs Carl Emil Overbeck – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/11/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
65%69%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (48/72)80% (43/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (20/39)46% (11/24)
Break Points Saved
69% (9/13)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
20% (11/54)33% (24/72)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (13/24)49% (19/39)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)31% (4/13)
Winners
1354
Unforced Errors
1657
Net Points Won
80% (12/15)66% (23/35)
Service Points Won
61% (68/111)69% (54/78)
Return Points Won
31% (24/78)39% (43/111)
Total Points Won
49% (92/189)51% (97/189)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Matthew Dellavedova
26.5%
Carl Emil Overbeck
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Dellavedova's form might have worsened.
  • Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carl Emil Overbeck's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carl Emil Overbeck, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matthew Dellavedova - Carl Emil Overbeck Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (2.62)

    1.27
    (1.43)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Matthew Dellavedova - Carl Emil Overbeck?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Overbeck will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Overbeck (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 423. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 649.
    • Dellavedova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Overbeck is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Overbeck may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Overbeck is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Overbeck will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Matthew Dellavedova
    Latest results of Carl Emil Overbeck
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Imamura M. (LL)2 : 0
    2Singh K.Isomura K.2 : 1
    3Moriya H.Langmo C.2 : 0
    4Delaney Ja. (WC)Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    5Tomic B. (3)Gengel M.2 : 0
    6Hewitt C. (WC)Sekulic P.0 : 2
    7Matsuda R. (Q)Shiraishi H.1 : 2
    8Bass F. (Q)Sweeny D. (7)1 : 2
    9Kubler J. (5)Tu L.2 : 0
    10Dellavedova M.Overbeck C. E. (Q)1 : 2
    11Marinkov P. (LL)Ellis B.2 : 1
    12Bouzige M.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (6)Bicknell B. (Q)2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H. (SE)Polmans M.1 : 2
    15Sach T. (WC)Wu Tung-Lin (Q)2 : 1
    16Kumasaka T.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Singh K.2 : 0
    2Moriya H.Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    3Tomic B. (3)Sekulic P.1 : 2
    4Shiraishi H.Sweeny D. (7)0 : 2
    5Kubler J. (RET.) (5)Overbeck C. E.0 : 1
    6Marinkov P.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    7McCabe J. (6)Polmans M.2 : 0
    8Sach T.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Noguchi R. (8)2 : 0
    2Sekulic P.Sweeny D. (7)0 : 2
    3Overbeck C. E.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4McCabe J. (6)Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Sweeny D. (7)1 : 2
    2Bolt A. (4)Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sweeny D. (7)Hijikata R. (2)1 : 2