Matthew Dellavedova vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Todi Challenger Men Matthew Dellavedova - Luca Castagnola
Result
0:2
12/08/2024 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final
  • Referee: Proietti S. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
74%71%
1st Serve Points Won
45% (19/42)66% (27/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (7/15)53% (9/17)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
34% (14/41)55% (23/42)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (8/17)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)56% (5/9)
Max Points In Row
56
Service Points Won
46% (26/57)62% (36/58)
Return Points Won
38% (22/58)54% (31/57)
Total Points Won
42% (48/115)58% (67/115)
Max Games In Row
36
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Matthew Dellavedova
45.2%
Luca Castagnola
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matthew Dellavedova - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.88)

    1.69
    (1.81)
    7.8%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 390. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 662.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Dellavedova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Torres J. B. (Alt)2 : 1
    2Piraino G. (WC)Lopez Montagud C.0 : 2
    3Dellavedova M. (LL)Elias G.0 : 2
    4Agamenone F.Olivieri G. A. (5)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (4)Picchione A. (RET.) (Alt)1 : 0
    6Neumayer L.Pavlovic L. (Q)1 : 2
    7Basile P. (Q)Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Blancaneaux G. (7)2 : 0
    9Mager G. (9)Gill F.0 : 2
    10Fonio G.Cretu C.0 : 2
    11Klizan M. (Alt)Juarez F. (Q)0 : 2
    12Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Tabur C. (3)2 : 0
    13Collarini A. (6)Dodig M.0 : 2
    14Cadenasso G. (Q)Giustino L.0 : 2
    15Ferrari G. (WC)Castagnola L. (Q)0 : 2
    16Rodriguez Taverna S.Jianu F. C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    2Elias G.Agamenone F.2 : 0
    3Maestrelli F. (4)Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    4Basile P.Taberner C.0 : 2
    5Gill F.Cretu C.1 : 2
    6Juarez F.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    7Dodig M.Giustino L.1 : 2
    8Castagnola L.Rodriguez Taverna S.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Elias G.2 : 0
    2Pavlovic L.Taberner C.1 : 2
    3Cretu C.Juarez F. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Giustino L.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2Cretu C.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 0