Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Telfs, clay - Semi-finals
Chances of winning
Matthew Donald
37.8% | Sebastian Sorger
62.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Donald's form might have worsened.Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Sorger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-4%)
Matthew Donald - Sebastian Sorger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.09) |
|
1.49 ↓
(1.69) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
Preview Facts
- Donald is ranked ATP: 737. Sorger is ranked ATP: 686.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Sorger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Sorger will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Matthew Donald won against Sebastian Sorger?
Matthew Donald has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Sorger won against Matthew Donald?
Sebastian Sorger has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matthew Donald - Sebastian Sorger were as follows:
Latest results of Matthew Donald
Latest results of Sebastian Sorger
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Novak D. (1) | Schlageter J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bieldiugin T. | Waldner N. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Roeder P. | Schlagenhauf N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Figl M. (Q) | Donald M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Sorger S. (4) | Buldorini P. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bilardo J. | Schifris J. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Wagner A. | Ramskogler G. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Van Herck L. (Q) | Wehnelt K. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | D'Agostino S. (8) | Kobierski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Homberg M. | Hipfl N. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Hartenstein J. P. (Q) | de Marchi A. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Friberg K. | Ferrari G. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Oradini G. (5) | Pinter P. L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Laborde A. (Q) | Ujvary M. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Borrelli L. (Q) | Horak O. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Barsukov N. | Nicod J. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Novak D. (1) | Bieldiugin T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schlagenhauf N. | Donald M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Sorger S. (4) | Bilardo J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ramskogler G. | Van Herck L. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | D'Agostino S. (8) | Homberg M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Hartenstein J. P. | Friberg K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Oradini G. (5) | Laborde A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Horak O. | Barsukov N. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Novak D. (1) | Donald M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Sorger S. (4) | Van Herck L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | D'Agostino S. (8) | Friberg K. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oradini G. (5) | Horak O. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Donald M. (6) | Sorger S. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | D'Agostino S. (8) | Oradini G. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sorger S. (4) | Oradini G. (5) | 2 : 1 |
