Mattia Bellucci vs Borna Coric – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Barcelona Mattia Bellucci - Borna Coric
Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
52%60%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (16/27)82% (31/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
18% (7/38)52% (14/27)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)50% (3/6)
Winners
1417
Unforced Errors
2822
Net Points Won
17% (1/6)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
56% (29/52)69% (42/61)
Return Points Won
31% (19/61)44% (23/52)
Total Points Won
42% (48/113)58% (65/113)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Mattia Bellucci
36.2%
Borna Coric
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mattia Bellucci's form might have worsened.
  • Borna Coric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borna Coric's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Coric than the current prediction. (-22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borna Coric, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mattia Bellucci - Borna Coric Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (1.64)

    1.46
    (2.07)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Borna Coric?
  • Users Predictions: Borna Coric will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borna Coric will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bellucci is ranked ATP: 66. Coric is ranked ATP: 97.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Coric will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Latest results of Borna Coric
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2