Mattia Bellucci vs Borna Coric – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
52%60%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (16/27)82% (31/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
18% (7/38)52% (14/27)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)50% (3/6)
Winners
1417
Unforced Errors
2822
Net Points Won
17% (1/6)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
56% (29/52)69% (42/61)
Return Points Won
31% (19/61)44% (23/52)
Total Points Won
42% (48/113)58% (65/113)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Mattia Bellucci
36.2%
Borna Coric
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mattia Bellucci's form might have worsened.
  • Borna Coric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borna Coric's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Coric than the current prediction. (-22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borna Coric, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mattia Bellucci - Borna Coric Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (1.64)

    1.46
    (2.07)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Borna Coric?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Coric (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borna Coric will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borna Coric will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Coric (votes: 11 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bellucci is ranked ATP: 66. Coric is ranked ATP: 97.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Coric will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Latest results of Borna Coric
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2