Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/02/2026 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
116
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
82%64%
1st serve points won
97% (35/36)74% (25/34)
2nd serve points won
63% (5/8)47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
26% (9/34)3% (1/36)
2nd return points won
53% (10/19)38% (3/8)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
91% (40/44)64% (34/53)
Return Points Won
36% (19/53)9% (4/44)
Total Points Won
61% (59/97)39% (38/97)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
68.1%
Mattia Bellucci
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.9% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.3)

    2.98
    (3.5)
    5%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brandon Nakashima will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nakashima is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
    05.06.2024 Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci 2:1
    23.02.2024 Mattia Bellucci - Brandon Nakashima 1:2
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Nakashima B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    3Zheng M. (WC)Korda S.0 : 2
    4Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    6Duckworth J.Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    7Svajda T. (WC)Quinn E.0 : 2
    8Cilic M.Tien L. (6)2 : 0
    9Shapovalov D. (7)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kovacevic A.Kypson P. (LL)2 : 0
    11Dimitrov G.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    12Svajda Z. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (5)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    14Shimabukuro S. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    15Walton A.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    16Diallo G.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Korda S.Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0
    3Pinnington Jones J.Spizzirri E.2 : 1
    4Quinn E.Cilic M.0 : 2
    5Shapovalov D. (7)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    6Michelsen A.Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    7Paul T. (5)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    8Mannarino A.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Korda S.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Cilic M.0 : 2
    3Shapovalov D. (7)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (7)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2