Result
0:2
10/03/2026 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 80% (20/25) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 69% (9/13) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/9 | 0/0 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 36% (10/28) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 79% (15/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/0 | 5/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 76% (28/37) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 56% (25/45) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (29/82) | 65% (53/82) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 100% (7/7) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 86% (12/14) |
Chances of winning
Francesco Maestrelli
36.6% | Mattia Bellucci
63.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-3%)
Francesco Maestrelli - Mattia Bellucci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.25) |
|
1.48 ↓
(1.56) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Francesco Maestrelli - Mattia Bellucci?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bellucci will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 50%). Bellucci (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 114. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Maestrelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bellucci could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maestrelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Maestrelli won against Mattia Bellucci?
Francesco Maestrelli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Francesco Maestrelli?
Mattia Bellucci has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Maestrelli - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
16.05.2024
Mattia Bellucci
-
Francesco Maestrelli
0:2
Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | McDonald M. (Alt) | Landaluce M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tseng C. H. | Andrade A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (WC) | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maestrelli F. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (7) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cid Subervi R. (WC) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. | Wong C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Dzumhur D. (3) | |
| 13 | Navone M. (6) | Hardt N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mejia N. (Q) | Mochizuki S. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Goffin D. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Royer V. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andrade A. | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Wong C. | Dzumhur D. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navone M. (6) | Mochizuki S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Royer V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Walton A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Collignon R. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blockx A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. (6) | Royer V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Walton A. (8) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blockx A. | Navone M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bellucci M. | Navone M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
