Mattia Bellucci vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
56%70%
1st serve points won
69% (27/39)64% (28/44)
2nd serve points won
32% (10/31)53% (10/19)
Break Points Saved
6/114/7
1st return points won
36% (16/44)31% (12/39)
2nd return points won
47% (9/19)68% (21/31)
Break Points Converted
3/75/11
Winners
1710
Unforced errors
4929
Net points won
67% (10/15)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
53% (37/70)60% (38/63)
Return Points Won
40% (25/63)47% (33/70)
Total Points Won
47% (62/133)53% (71/133)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Mattia Bellucci
63.4%
Mariano Navone
36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Mattia Bellucci have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Mariano Navone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mattia Bellucci - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.46)

    2.55
    (2.53)
    6.5%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Navone (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mattia Bellucci will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Navone (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94. Navone is ranked ATP: 79.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Bellucci is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2