Matyas Cerny vs Ergi Kirkin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
69%57%
1st serve points won
59% (42/71)61% (41/67)
2nd serve points won
53% (17/32)52% (26/50)
Break Points Saved
6/1110/15
1st return points won
39% (26/67)41% (29/71)
2nd return points won
48% (24/50)47% (15/32)
Break Points Converted
5/155/11
Winners
3331
Unforced errors
4752
Net points won
44% (11/25)73% (19/26)
Service Points Won
57% (59/103)57% (67/117)
Return Points Won
43% (50/117)43% (44/103)
Total Points Won
50% (109/220)50% (111/220)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
67% (10/15)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)33% (5/15)
Total games won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Matyas Cerny
51.9%
Ergi Kirkin
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matyas Cerny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matyas Cerny's form might have worsened.
  • Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ergi Kirkin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matyas Cerny than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Matyas Cerny - Ergi Kirkin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.56)

    1.94
    (2.29)
    7.2%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Matyas Cerny - Ergi Kirkin?
  • Users Predictions: Ergi Kirkin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerny is ranked ATP: 735. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 608.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cerny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cerny might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matyas Cerny
    Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Dodig M. (1)Langmo C. (Alt)2 : 1
    2Kirkin E. (Q)Kopp S.0 : 2
    3Poljicak M. (WC)Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 1
    4Krumich M.Gill F. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Martin Manzano J. C. (Q)2 : 0
    6Ajdukovic D.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rincon D.Mrva M.0 : 2
    8Krutykh O. (Q)Coppejans K. (6)0 : 2
    9Ferreira Silva F. (5)Michalski D.2 : 0
    10Berrettini J.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    11Nedic A.Sels J.2 : 0
    12Kuzmanov D.Fatic N. (4)2 : 0
    13Gentzsch T. (7)Forejtek J.2 : 0
    14Oetzbach A. (Q)Romano F. (Q)0 : 2
    15Simundza J. (WC)Coulibaly E.1 : 2
    16Vasilev A. (JR)Loffhagen G. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Dodig M. (1)Kopp S.2 : 1
    2Poljicak M.Gill F. (8)2 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (3)Ajdukovic D.2 : 0
    4Mrva M.Coppejans K. (6)1 : 2
    5Ferreira Silva F. (5)Gueymard Wayenburg S.1 : 2
    6Nedic A.Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    7Gentzsch T. (7)Romano F.2 : 0
    8Coulibaly E.Vasilev A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Dodig M. (RET.) (1)Poljicak M.0 : 0
    2Neumayer L. (3)Coppejans K. (6)0 : 2
    3Gueymard Wayenburg S.Nedic A.2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T. (7)Vasilev A.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Poljicak M.Coppejans K. (6)2 : 1
    2Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gentzsch T. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Poljicak M.Gentzsch T. (7)2 : 0