Max Alcala Gurri vs Corentin Denolly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Targu Mures 2 Challenger Men Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly
Result
1:2
18/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
49
1st Serve Percentage
81%63%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (51/84)64% (50/78)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (8/20)33% (15/46)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
36% (28/78)40% (34/84)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (31/46)60% (12/20)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
57% (59/104)52% (65/124)
Return Points Won
48% (59/124)43% (45/104)
Total Points Won
52% (118/228)48% (110/228)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)60% (9/15)
Return Games Won
40% (6/15)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Max Alcala Gurri
65.4%
Corentin Denolly
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Alcala Gurri that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Denolly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.53)

    2.68
    (2.37)
    8.3%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 426. Denolly is ranked ATP: 320.
    • Alcala Gurri has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Denolly has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alcala Gurri could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcala Gurri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly were as follows:
    22.12.2023 Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly 2:1
    Latest results of Max Alcala Gurri
    Latest results of Corentin Denolly
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Ovcharenko O.2 : 0
    2Uta D. (Q)Raynel A. (Q)0 : 2
    3Bentzel C. S. (WC)Boitan G. A.0 : 2
    4Roncadelli F.Alvarez Varona N. (7)0 : 2
    5Kuzmanov D. (3)Montes-De La Torre I.2 : 1
    6Tomescu D. A. (Q)Picchione A.0 : 2
    7Nijboer R.Damas M.0 : 2
    8Marti Pujolras A.Brunold M. (8)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (RET.) (6)Alcala Gurri M.0 : 1
    10Denolly C.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 1
    11Coman M. A. (WC)Gima S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Mrva M.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    13Jianu F. C. (5)Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    14Faurel T. (Q)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    15Zapata Miralles B.Loge J. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ionel N. D.Rincon D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Raynel A.2 : 0
    2Boitan G. A.Alvarez Varona N. (7)2 : 1
    3Kuzmanov D. (3)Picchione A.1 : 2
    4Damas M.Brunold M. (8)2 : 0
    5Alcala Gurri M.Denolly C.1 : 2
    6Gima S.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    7Jianu F. C. (5)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    8Loge J.Rincon D. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Boitan G. A.2 : 0
    2Picchione A. (RET.)Damas M.0 : 1
    3Denolly C.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    4Agamenone F.Rincon D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Erhard M. (4)Agamenone F.0 : 2

    Final
    1Clarke J. (1)Agamenone F.0 : 2