Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Max Holloway
65.5%
Charles Oliveira
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Max Holloway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Charles Oliveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Max Holloway - Charles Oliveira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.47)

    2.7
    (2.7)
    6.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Holloway Max defending title.
    • Holloway will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Max Holloway
    20.07.2025 Max Holloway - Dustin Poirier Holloway M. win
    26.10.2024 Ilia Topuria - Max Holloway Topuria I. - 3rd Round TKO
    13.04.2024 Justin Gaethje - Max Holloway Holloway M. - 5th Round KO
    26.08.2023 Max Holloway - Chan Sung Jung KO/3:KO/3
    Latest results of Charles Oliveira
    11.10.2025 Charles Oliveira - Mateusz Gamrot Oliveira C. - 2nd Round TKO
    29.06.2025 Ilia Topuria - Charles Oliveira Topuria I. - 1st Round KO
    16.11.2024 Charles Oliveira - Michael Chandler Oliveira C. win
    13.04.2024 Charles Oliveira - Arman Tsarukyan Tsarukyan A. win
    21.10.2023 Islam Makhachev - Charles Oliveira Canceled