Max Houkes vs Aristotelis Thanos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Max Houkes - Aristotelis Thanos
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
05
1st Serve Percentage
71%59%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (31/50)63% (30/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
75% (15/20)35% (12/34)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
40% (19/48)38% (19/50)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (23/34)25% (5/20)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
66% (46/70)51% (42/82)
Return Points Won
49% (40/82)34% (24/70)
Total Points Won
57% (86/152)43% (66/152)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Max Houkes
61.5%
Aristotelis Thanos
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Houkes's performance.
  • Aristotelis Thanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aristotelis Thanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aristotelis Thanos than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aristotelis Thanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Max Houkes - Aristotelis Thanos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.84)

    2.46
    (1.85)
    5.7%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Max Houkes - Aristotelis Thanos?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Thanos will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houkes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Houkes is ranked ATP: 294. Thanos is ranked ATP: 476.
    • Houkes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Thanos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Max Houkes
    Latest results of Aristotelis Thanos
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2