Result
2:1
13/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 68% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 73% (57/78) | 66% (61/93) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 53% (23/43) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/10 | 12/16 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (32/93) | 27% (21/78) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 47% (22/47) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/16 | 3/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 62% (23/37) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (81/124) | 61% (83/135) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (52/135) | 35% (43/124) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (133/259) | 49% (126/259) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Marco Trungelliti 65.8% | Max Houkes 34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↑ (1.35) |
|
2.75 ↓ (2.92) |
7.2% (8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Houkes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houkes (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Houkes is ranked ATP: 245.
- Trungelliti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Houkes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Trungelliti will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Trungelliti won against Max Houkes?
Marco Trungelliti has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Max Houkes won against Marco Trungelliti?
Max Houkes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes were as follows:
10.11.2022
Max Houkes
-
Marco Trungelliti
0:2
Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
Latest results of Max Houkes
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | 2 : 1 |