Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
711
Double Faults
55
1st serve percentage
62%68%
1st serve points won
73% (57/78)66% (61/93)
2nd serve points won
53% (25/47)53% (23/43)
Break Points Saved
7/1012/16
1st return points won
34% (32/93)27% (21/78)
2nd return points won
47% (20/43)47% (22/47)
Break Points Converted
4/163/10
Winners
4643
Unforced errors
4245
Net points won
65% (11/17)62% (23/37)
Service Points Won
65% (81/124)61% (83/135)
Return Points Won
39% (52/135)35% (43/124)
Total Points Won
51% (133/259)49% (126/259)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
82% (14/17)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)18% (3/17)
Total games won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
65.8%
Max Houkes
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.4% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.35)

    2.75
    (2.92)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Houkes will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houkes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Houkes is ranked ATP: 245.
    • Trungelliti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Houkes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Trungelliti will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes were as follows:
    10.11.2022 Max Houkes - Marco Trungelliti 0:2
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Max Houkes
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)2 : 1