Max Houkes vs Mate Valkusz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Braga Challenger Men Max Houkes - Mate Valkusz
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
210
1st Serve Percentage
52%63%
1st Serve Points Won
48% (21/44)63% (32/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (21/40)37% (11/30)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)57% (8/14)
1st Return Points Won
37% (19/51)55% (24/44)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (19/30)48% (19/40)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
50% (41/82)54% (44/82)
Return Points Won
46% (38/82)50% (41/82)
Total Points Won
48% (79/164)52% (85/164)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
50% (6/12)50% (6/12)
Return Games Won
50% (6/12)50% (6/12)
Total Games Won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Max Houkes
63.5%
Mate Valkusz
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Houkes's performance.
  • Mate Valkusz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mate Valkusz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-19%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mate Valkusz than the current prediction. (+19%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mate Valkusz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Max Houkes - Mate Valkusz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (2.07)

    2.57
    (1.69)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Max Houkes - Mate Valkusz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Houkes (votes: 1 - 50%). Valkusz (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Max Houkes will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Houkes is ranked ATP: 292. Valkusz is ranked ATP: 676.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Max Houkes
    Latest results of Mate Valkusz
    24.09.2025 Martin Krumich - Mate Valkusz Valkusz M. retired
    21.09.2025 Felix Gill - Mate Valkusz 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (LL)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    3Houkes M. (RET.) (LL)Kolar Z.0 : 0
    4Travaglia S.Faria J. (5)0 : 2
    5Marmousez L. (Q)Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    6Gadamauri B. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Squire H. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pereira T. (WC)Trungelliti M. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Ingildsen J. (Q)0 : 2
    10Rocha F. (WC)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Clarke J.Rocha H.0 : 2
    12Ymer E. (RET.)Moller E. (4)0 : 0
    13Lajovic D. (6)Rincon D.2 : 0
    14Mikrut L.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    15Ferreira Silva F.Nagal S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torres T. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Barranco Cosano J.0 : 2
    2Kolar Z.Faria J. (5)2 : 0
    3Cecchinato M.Gaubas V.
    4Squire H.Trungelliti M. (8)1 : 2
    5Ingildsen J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    6Rocha H.Moller E. (4)1 : 2
    7Lajovic D. (6)Mikrut L.0 : 2
    8Nagal S.Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Barranco Cosano J.Kolar Z.
    2TBD #3Trungelliti M. (8)
    3Moro Canas A.Moller E. (4)
    4Mikrut L.Nagal S.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2