Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
57
1st serve percentage
57%57%
1st serve points won
55% (42/76)56% (41/73)
2nd serve points won
46% (26/57)44% (24/55)
Break Points Saved
7/145/13
1st return points won
44% (32/73)45% (34/76)
2nd return points won
56% (31/55)54% (31/57)
Break Points Converted
8/137/14
Service Points Won
51% (68/133)51% (65/128)
Return Points Won
49% (63/128)49% (65/133)
Total Points Won
50% (131/261)50% (130/261)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
30
Service games won
59% (10/17)53% (9/17)
Return games won
47% (8/17)41% (7/17)
Total games won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Max Houkes
34.9%
Vilius Gaubas
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 72.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.64)

    1.45
    (1.42)
    6.2%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Houkes is ranked ATP: 251. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 105.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gaubas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houkes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    24.03.2023 Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas 2:0
    Latest results of Max Houkes
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2