Maxence Beauge vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 12, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
33

Chances of winning


Maxence Beauge
64%
Luca Castagnola
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxence Beauge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxence Beauge's performance.
  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castagnola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxence Beauge than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxence Beauge that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castagnola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maxence Beauge - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.56)

    2.58
    (2.22)
    7.7%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Beauge is ranked ATP: 629. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 786.
    • In recent matches, Beauge has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castagnola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Beauge could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Maxence Beauge
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Alkaya M. (1)Gusic Wan B.2 : 0
    2Schoen P.Demanet E.2 : 0
    3Shepp A.Hernandez C.2 : 0
    4Turriziani Alvarez A.Ouakaa A. (7)1 : 2
    5Vandermeersch C. (3)Barsukov N.1 : 2
    6Gannon C.Makk P.2 : 0
    7Yazdani A.Piatti R.0 : 2
    8Trifi A.Ehrenschneider N. (6)2 : 0
    9Beauge M. (8)Castagnola L.2 : 0
    10Hurrion M.Plans J.2 : 0
    11Rahmani K.Mansouri S.2 : 0
    12Paldanius O.Giunta M. (4)0 : 2
    13Gima S. (5)Hamza Reguig S.1 : 2
    14Torres T.Sahtali T.2 : 1
    15Kelm Y.Wiedenmann L.2 : 0
    16Verbeek D.Erel Y. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alkaya M. (1)Schoen P.2 : 0
    2Shepp A.Ouakaa A. (7)2 : 0
    3Barsukov N.Gannon C.2 : 1
    4Piatti R.Trifi A.0 : 2
    5Beauge M. (8)Hurrion M.0 : 2
    6Rahmani K.Giunta M. (4)2 : 0
    7Hamza Reguig S.Torres T.0 : 2
    8Kelm Y.Erel Y. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Alkaya M. (1)Shepp A.2 : 0
    2Barsukov N.Trifi A.0 : 2
    3Hurrion M.Rahmani K.1 : 2
    4Torres T.Kelm Y.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alkaya M. (1)Trifi A.2 : 0
    2Rahmani K.Torres T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Alkaya M. (1)Torres T.2 : 0