Maxence Beauge vs Milos Karol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Roanne Challenger Men Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 05:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1521
Double Faults
011
1st Serve Percentage
49%57%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (43/58)78% (53/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (28/60)44% (23/52)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)79% (11/14)
1st Return Points Won
22% (15/68)26% (15/58)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (29/52)53% (32/60)
Break Points Converted
21% (3/14)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
60% (71/118)63% (76/120)
Return Points Won
37% (44/120)40% (47/118)
Total Points Won
48% (115/238)52% (123/238)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Maxence Beauge
34.1%
Milos Karol
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxence Beauge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxence Beauge's form might have worsened.
  • Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milos Karol's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxence Beauge than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxence Beauge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milos Karol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (1.84)

    1.49
    (1.85)
    2.2%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol?
  • Users Predictions: Maxence Beauge will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Maxence Beauge will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Beauge is ranked ATP: 526. Karol is ranked ATP: 363.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Beauge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Maxence Beauge
    Latest results of Milos Karol
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)van Assche L.2 : 1
    2Stricker D. (Q)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    3Dodig M. (NG)Eubanks C.2 : 0
    4Gueymard Wayenburg S.Passaro F. (8)1 : 2
    5Misolic F. (3)Bernet H. (WC)1 : 2
    6Sachko V.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (Alt)Chidekh C.2 : 1
    8Durasovic V. (Q)Gaston H. (5)0 : 2
    9Carreno-Busta P. (6)Karol M. (LL)1 : 2
    10Galarneau A.Martineau M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Brunold M. (Q)Engel J. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Sakellaridis S. (Q)Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    13Blockx A. (7)Sels J. (LL)2 : 0
    14Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O.0 : 2
    15Glinka D. (Q)Hemery C.0 : 2
    16Added D. (WC)Thompson J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Stricker D.0 : 2
    2Dodig M.Passaro F. (8)2 : 0
    3Bernet H.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    4Gojo B.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    5Karol M.Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Brunold M.Sakellaridis S.2 : 0
    7Blockx A. (7)Virtanen O.1 : 2
    8Hemery C.Thompson J. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Dodig M.0 : 0
    2Budkov Kjaer N.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    3Martineau M.Brunold M.2 : 1
    4Virtanen O.Hemery C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    2Martineau M.Virtanen O.0 : 2

    Final
    1Gaston H. (5)Virtanen O.1 : 2