Maxim Mrva vs Alejandro Moro Canas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
131
1st serve percentage
53%75%
1st serve points won
52% (32/62)52% (44/85)
2nd serve points won
35% (19/54)57% (16/28)
Break Points Saved
11/219/16
1st return points won
48% (41/85)48% (30/62)
2nd return points won
43% (12/28)65% (35/54)
Break Points Converted
7/1610/21
Winners
3114
Unforced errors
10764
Service Points Won
44% (51/116)53% (60/113)
Return Points Won
47% (53/113)56% (65/116)
Total Points Won
45% (104/229)55% (125/229)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
38% (6/16)53% (8/15)
Return games won
47% (7/15)63% (10/16)
Total games won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Maxim Mrva
39.9%
Alejandro Moro Canas
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxim Mrva's performance.
  • Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Maxim Mrva - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.72)

    1.55
    (1.41)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mrva is ranked ATP: 303. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 233.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Moro Canas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    24.03.2026 Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva 0:2
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    Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas