Maxim Mrva vs Michael Mmoh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
84
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
50%71%
1st serve points won
65% (36/55)75% (47/63)
2nd serve points won
45% (25/55)31% (8/26)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)56% (5/9)
1st return points won
25% (16/63)38% (21/55)
2nd return points won
69% (18/26)55% (30/55)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)27% (4/15)
Winners
3914
Unforced errors
5333
Net points won
62% (13/21)76% (13/17)
Service Points Won
56% (61/109)62% (55/89)
Return Points Won
38% (34/89)44% (48/109)
Total Points Won
48% (95/198)52% (103/198)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)31% (4/13)
Total games won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Maxim Mrva
28.7%
Michael Mmoh
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxim Mrva's form might have worsened.
  • Michael Mmoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Mmoh's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Mmoh than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Mmoh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maxim Mrva - Michael Mmoh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (2.32)

    1.32
    (1.53)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Maxim Mrva - Michael Mmoh?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mrva (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5 Games - Mrva (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Games - Mrva (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mrva (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mrva is ranked ATP: 323. Mmoh is ranked ATP: 353.
    • Recent form of Mrva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mmoh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mmoh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mmoh is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    Latest results of Michael Mmoh
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2