Maxim Mrva vs Nikoloz Basilashvili – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Trieste Challenger Men Maxim Mrva - Nikoloz Basilashvili
Result
2:1
09/07/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
57%46%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (23/35)42% (14/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)49% (19/39)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)30% (3/10)
1st Return Points Won
58% (19/33)34% (12/35)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (20/39)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
70% (7/10)75% (3/4)
Winners
910
Unforced Errors
2055
Net Points Won
100% (1/1)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
64% (39/61)46% (33/72)
Return Points Won
54% (39/72)36% (22/61)
Total Points Won
59% (78/133)41% (55/133)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)42% (5/12)
Return Games Won
58% (7/12)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
65% (15/23)35% (8/23)

Chances of winning


Maxim Mrva
34%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 65.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Maxim Mrva - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.62)

    1.42
    (1.44)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Maxim Mrva - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mrva is ranked ATP: 501. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 126.
    • Mrva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Basilashvili is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Basilashvili will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Basilashvili will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Nagal S. (Q)1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M. (WC)Mena F. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Ficovich J. P.Cina F. (WC)1 : 2
    4Mrva M. (Q)Basilashvili N. (6)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (3)Dodig M. (Q)0 : 2
    6Rodionov J.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (WC)1 : 1
    7Gomez F. A.Neumayer L.0 : 2
    8Collarini A. (Q)Gigante M. (7)2 : 0
    9Gaubas V. (8)Klein L.1 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Jacquet K.2 : 0
    11Sachko V.Kym J.2 : 1
    12Travaglia S. (SE)Boyer T. (4)2 : 0
    13Tirante T. A. (5)Rocha H.2 : 0
    14Blanchet U.Picchione A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Rodriguez Taverna S.Michalski D. (Q)2 : 0
    16Gea A. (NG)Barrios Vera T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Cina F.Mrva M.0 : 2
    3Dodig M.Rodionov J.2 : 0
    4Neumayer L.Collarini A.2 : 1
    5Klein L.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    6Sachko V.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    7Tirante T. A. (5)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    8Rodriguez Taverna S.Barrios Vera T. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Nagal S.Mrva M.2 : 1
    2Dodig M.Neumayer L.2 : 0
    3Diaz Acosta F.Travaglia S.2 : 0
    4Tirante T. A. (5)Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nagal S.Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Diaz Acosta F.Tirante T. A. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Dodig M.Tirante T. A. (5)2 : 0