Maxim Mrva vs Zsombor Piros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/02/2026 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
62%73%
1st serve points won
58% (19/33)89% (34/38)
2nd serve points won
65% (13/20)29% (4/14)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)100% (1/1)
1st return points won
11% (4/38)42% (14/33)
2nd return points won
71% (10/14)35% (7/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)50% (3/6)
Winners
919
Unforced errors
2126
Net points won
43% (3/7)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
60% (32/53)73% (38/52)
Return Points Won
27% (14/52)40% (21/53)
Total Points Won
44% (46/105)56% (59/105)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Maxim Mrva
24.3%
Zsombor Piros
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 63.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxim Mrva's form might have worsened.
  • Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zsombor Piros's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maxim Mrva - Zsombor Piros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (2.65)

    1.25
    (1.43)
    6.2%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Maxim Mrva - Zsombor Piros?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Piros will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Piros: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mrva (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Piros (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mrva (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Piros (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mrva is ranked ATP: 323. Piros is ranked ATP: 180.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Piros is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    Latest results of Zsombor Piros
    08.02.2026 Zsombor Piros - Ethan Quinn Canceled
    07.02.2026 Zsombor Piros - Tommy Paul 0:2
    27.01.2026 August Holmgren - Zsombor Piros Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2