Maxime Chazal vs Diego Dedura-Palomero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Maxime Chazal - Diego Dedura-Palomero
Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
71%67%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (35/55)66% (41/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (12/23)42% (13/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
40% (25/62)38% (21/55)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (18/31)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
60% (47/78)58% (54/93)
Return Points Won
42% (39/93)40% (31/78)
Total Points Won
50% (86/171)50% (85/171)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Maxime Chazal
43.5%
Diego Dedura-Palomero
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxime Chazal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxime Chazal's performance.
  • Diego Dedura-Palomero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diego Dedura-Palomero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxime Chazal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diego Dedura-Palomero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maxime Chazal - Diego Dedura-Palomero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.8)

    1.73
    (1.4)
    2.2%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Chazal is ranked ATP: 578. Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 339.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Chazal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dedura-Palomero is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Maxime Chazal
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2