Maxime Chazal vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santander Men Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
2:1
22/08/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
22

Chances of winning


Maxime Chazal
39.5%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxime Chazal's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxime Chazal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (1.73)

    1.53
    (2.01)
    8%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
  • Users Predictions: Nicolas Alvarez Varona will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chazal is ranked ATP: 381. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 618.
    • Chazal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alvarez Varona in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Chazal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Chazal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Sanchez Jover C. (1)Garcia Mestre J.2 : 0
    2Juan Mano A.Almazan Valiente I.2 : 0
    3Peiro Serrano A.Winter Lopez B.0 : 2
    4Lopez Montagud C.Damas M. (6)2 : 0
    5Barranco Cosano J. (4)Nagele M.2 : 0
    6Tanner G. L.Canedo de la Llama E.2 : 0
    7Perez Contri S.Gutierrez O. J.2 : 0
    8Parisca I.Zapata Miralles B. (5)2 : 1
    9Nijboer R. (7)Fita Juan S.2 : 0
    10Helguera Casado L.Rojas C.2 : 0
    11Lopez Cherubino N.Vives Marcos P.0 : 2
    12Cordoba C.Moro Canas A. (3)0 : 2
    13Campana Lee G. (8)Santamarta Roig A.1 : 2
    14Demin Y.Bueno Gil A.2 : 0
    15Martinez A.Lazaro Juncadella M.0 : 2
    16De Krom M.Giustino L. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sanchez Jover C. (1)Juan Mano A.2 : 1
    2Winter Lopez B.Lopez Montagud C.2 : 1
    3Barranco Cosano J. (4)Tanner G. L.2 : 0
    4Perez Contri S.Parisca I.2 : 1
    5Nijboer R. (7)Helguera Casado L.2 : 0
    6Vives Marcos P.Moro Canas A. (3)1 : 2
    7Santamarta Roig A.Demin Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Lazaro Juncadella M.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sanchez Jover C. (1)Winter Lopez B.1 : 2
    2Barranco Cosano J. (4)Perez Contri S.2 : 0
    3Nijboer R. (7)Moro Canas A. (3)0 : 2
    4Santamarta Roig A.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Winter Lopez B. (RET.)Barranco Cosano J. (4)0 : 1
    2Moro Canas A. (3)Giustino L. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Barranco Cosano J. (4)Giustino L. (RET.) (2)1 : 0