Maxime Chazal vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santander Men Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
2:1
22/08/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
22

Chances of winning


Maxime Chazal
39.5%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxime Chazal's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxime Chazal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (1.73)

    1.53
    (2.01)
    8%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Maxime Chazal - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
  • Users Predictions: Nicolas Alvarez Varona will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chazal is ranked ATP: 381. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 618.
    • Chazal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alvarez Varona in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Chazal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Chazal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Gill F. (1)Pedrico Kravtsov A.1 : 2
    2Harper C.Montes-De La Torre I.0 : 2
    3Merida Aguilar D.Sanchez Amor G.2 : 0
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Gulin S. (9)0 : 2
    5Chazal M. (4)Lopez Morillo I.2 : 0
    6Giraldi C.Alvarez Sarmiento M. L.0 : 2
    7Curras Abasolo T.Alvarez Varona N.0 : 2
    8Dussin L.Nijboer R. (5)0 : 2
    9Marti Pujolras A. (6)Rocha F.2 : 0
    10Masjuan Ginel P.Blanch D.0 : 2
    11Vale D.Perez Contri S.1 : 2
    12Echeverria J.Sanchez Jover C. (3)0 : 2
    13Brancaccio R. (7)Barreto Sanchez D. A.1 : 2
    14Fernandez Flores D.Winter Lopez B.2 : 0
    15Izquierdo R.Lazaro Juncadella M.0 : 2
    16De Krom M.Martin Tiffon P. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Pedrico Kravtsov A.Montes-De La Torre I.2 : 1
    2Merida Aguilar D.Gulin S. (9)2 : 0
    3Chazal M. (4)Alvarez Sarmiento M. L.2 : 0
    4Alvarez Varona N.Nijboer R. (5)2 : 1
    5Marti Pujolras A. (6)Blanch D.0 : 2
    6Perez Contri S.Sanchez Jover C. (3)1 : 2
    7Barreto Sanchez D. A.Fernandez Flores D.2 : 1
    8Lazaro Juncadella M.Martin Tiffon P. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pedrico Kravtsov A.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    2Chazal M. (4)Alvarez Varona N.2 : 1
    3Blanch D.Sanchez Jover C. (3)1 : 2
    4Barreto Sanchez D. A.Martin Tiffon P. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D.Chazal M. (4)2 : 1
    2Sanchez Jover C. (3)Martin Tiffon P. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Merida Aguilar D.Martin Tiffon P. (2)1 : 1