Maximilian Marterer vs Dominic Thiem – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Estoril Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem
Result
1:2
01/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
73
1st Serve Percentage
62%61%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (35/59)73% (38/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (16/36)48% (16/33)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/52)41% (24/59)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (17/33)56% (20/36)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)50% (6/12)
Max Points In Row
410
Service Points Won
54% (51/95)64% (54/85)
Return Points Won
36% (31/85)46% (44/95)
Total Points Won
46% (82/180)54% (98/180)
Max Games In Row
34
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Maximilian Marterer
41.8%
Dominic Thiem
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maximilian Marterer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maximilian Marterer's performance.
  • Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominic Thiem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maximilian Marterer that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.53)

    1.64
    (1.43)
    5.2%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Marterer will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Thiem will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marterer: 32%80.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Marterer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Marterer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.
    Latest results of Maximilian Marterer
    Latest results of Dominic Thiem
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Bye
    2Coria F.Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    3Fucsovics M.Cachin P.2 : 0
    4Rocha H. (WC)Monfils G. (7)0 : 2
    5Gasquet R. (LL)Bye
    6Marterer M.Thiem D.1 : 2
    7Altmaier D.Martinez P.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Kecmanovic M. (6)2 : 0
    9Fils A. (5)Sousa J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Rodionov J.Garin C.0 : 2
    11Pouille L. (Q)Borges N.1 : 2
    12ByeMusetti L. (3)
    13Koepfer D. (8)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    14Faria J. (Q)Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)0 : 2
    15Choinski J. (Q)Fonseca J. (WC)2 : 1
    16ByeHurkacz H. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Monfils G. (7)2 : 1
    3Gasquet R. (4)Thiem D.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    5Fils A. (5)Garin C.1 : 2
    6Borges N.Musetti L. (3)2 : 0
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    8Choinski J.Hurkacz H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    2Gasquet R. (4)Martinez P.0 : 2
    3Garin C.Borges N.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Hurkacz H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Martinez P.1 : 2
    2Garin C.Hurkacz H. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Martinez P.Hurkacz H. (2)0 : 2