Florent Bax vs Maximilian Neuchrist – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
2426
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
69%64%
1st serve points won
84% (68/81)82% (59/72)
2nd serve points won
58% (21/36)70% (28/40)
Break Points Saved
1/13/3
1st return points won
18% (13/72)16% (13/81)
2nd return points won
30% (12/40)42% (15/36)
Break Points Converted
0/30/1
Winners
4554
Unforced errors
3135
Net points won
67% (8/12)72% (21/29)
Service Points Won
76% (89/117)78% (87/112)
Return Points Won
22% (25/112)24% (28/117)
Total Points Won
50% (114/229)50% (115/229)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
03
Service games won
100% (18/18)100% (18/18)
Return games won
0% (0/18)0% (0/18)
Total games won
50% (18/36)50% (18/36)

Chances of winning


Florent Bax
59.8%
Maximilian Neuchrist
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Maximilian Neuchrist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florent Bax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maximilian Neuchrist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Florent Bax - Maximilian Neuchrist Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.45)

    2.35
    (2.6)
    6.3%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Florent Bax - Maximilian Neuchrist?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bax will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Neuchrist will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bax (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bax is ranked ATP: 268. Neuchrist is ranked ATP: 668.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Neuchrist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bax will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Florent Bax - Maximilian Neuchrist were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Maximilian Neuchrist - Florent Bax 2:1
    Latest results of Florent Bax
    09.02.2026 Florent Bax - Denis Yevseyev Bax F. retired
    28.01.2026 Florent Bax - Marek Gengel Gengel M. retired
    Latest results of Maximilian Neuchrist
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)2 : 1