Maximilian Neuchrist vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Kigali Challenger Men Maximilian Neuchrist - Joel Schwaerzler
Result
2:1
26/02/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
65%56%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (42/60)72% (36/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (21/33)56% (22/39)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
28% (14/50)30% (18/60)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (17/39)36% (12/33)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
68% (63/93)65% (58/89)
Return Points Won
35% (31/89)32% (30/93)
Total Points Won
52% (94/182)48% (88/182)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Maximilian Neuchrist
36.2%
Joel Schwaerzler
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maximilian Neuchrist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximilian Neuchrist's form might have worsened.
  • Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joel Schwaerzler's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximilian Neuchrist, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maximilian Neuchrist - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.08)

    1.46
    (1.78)
    6.9%
    (4.5%)
    What is the prediction for Maximilian Neuchrist - Joel Schwaerzler?
  • Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neuchrist is ranked ATP: 562. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 312.
    • Neuchrist is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Schwaerzler is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Schwaerzler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Schwaerzler will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Maximilian Neuchrist
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    2Marti Pujolras A.Kellovsky D. (Q)2 : 0
    3Jones M. (WC)Erhard M.0 : 2
    4Pavlovic L. (Q)Roca Batalla O.2 : 0
    5Hemery C. (RET.) (4)Neuchrist M. (Alt)0 : 1
    6Kolar Z. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    7Janvier M.Houkes M.0 : 2
    8Coulibaly E. (Alt)Michalski D. (LL)2 : 0
    9Jianu F. C. (6)Ionel N. D. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Guinard M. (RET.)Oberleitner N. (Q)0 : 1
    11Tabur C.Den Ouden G. (Q)0 : 2
    12Chazal M.Royer V. (3)0 : 2
    13Neumayer L. (5)Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 1
    14Denolly C.Sanchez Jover C.0 : 2
    15Blancaneaux G.Cecchinato M. (WC)0 : 2
    16Picchione A. (Alt)Taberner C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Martin A.Marti Pujolras A.2 : 1
    2Erhard M.Pavlovic L. (RET.)1 : 1
    3Neuchrist M.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 1
    4Houkes M.Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    5Jianu F. C. (6)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    6Den Ouden G.Royer V. (3)1 : 2
    7Neumayer L. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 1
    8Cecchinato M.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Martin A.Erhard M.2 : 0
    2Neuchrist M.Houkes M.2 : 1
    3Jianu F. C. (6)Royer V. (3)1 : 2
    4Neumayer L. (5)Cecchinato M.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Martin A.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    2Royer V. (3)Cecchinato M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Martin A.Royer V. (3)0 : 2