Maxwell McKennon vs Daniil Ostapenkov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
16/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hurghada 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


Maxwell McKennon
49%
Daniil Ostapenkov
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maxwell McKennon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxwell McKennon's form might have worsened.
  • Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Ostapenkov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxwell McKennon than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxwell McKennon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maxwell McKennon - Daniil Ostapenkov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.59)

    1.81
    (2.16)
    8.7%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Maxwell McKennon - Daniil Ostapenkov?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. McKennon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • McKennon is ranked ATP: 552. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 737.
    • McKennon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ostapenkov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ostapenkov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Maxwell McKennon
    Latest results of Daniil Ostapenkov
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Purtseladze S. (1)Felsner F.2 : 0
    2Kivattsev K.Bulut E.2 : 0
    3Larue L.Vaitiekunas P.2 : 0
    4Figl M.Zakaria F. (7)0 : 2
    5Napolitano S. (4)Singh S.2 : 0
    6Ambarzumjan E.Jeran A.1 : 2
    7Miladinovic M.Ibrahim K.2 : 0
    8McDonald N.Neuchrist M. (RET.) (8)0 : 0
    9Erel Y. (5)Yilmaz K.2 : 0
    10Kellovsky D.Bittoun C.2 : 0
    11Rocha F.Boogaard T.0 : 2
    12Pietri B.Binda A. (3)1 : 2
    13Fonio G. (6)Turker M. N.0 : 2
    14McKennon M.Catini N.2 : 0
    15Ostapenkov D.Gerasimov E.2 : 0
    16Bakshi A.Poullain L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Purtseladze S. (1)Kivattsev K.2 : 0
    2Larue L.Zakaria F. (7)0 : 2
    3Napolitano S. (4)Jeran A.2 : 0
    4Miladinovic M.McDonald N.2 : 1
    5Erel Y. (5)Kellovsky D.0 : 2
    6Boogaard T.Binda A. (3)1 : 2
    7Turker M. N.McKennon M.0 : 2
    8Ostapenkov D.Bakshi A.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Purtseladze S. (1)Zakaria F. (7)2 : 0
    2Napolitano S. (4)Miladinovic M.1 : 2
    3Kellovsky D.Binda A. (3)0 : 2
    4McKennon M.Ostapenkov D.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Purtseladze S. (1)Miladinovic M.2 : 0
    2Binda A. (3)Ostapenkov D.2 : 0

    Final
    1Purtseladze S. (1)Binda A. (3)2 : 0