Maya Joint vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Tokyo Maya Joint - Karolina Muchova
Result
0:2
22/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
40
1st Serve Percentage
63%75%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (24/45)77% (30/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (13/26)54% (7/13)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
23% (9/39)49% (22/45)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (6/13)50% (13/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
52% (37/71)71% (37/52)
Return Points Won
29% (15/52)48% (34/71)
Total Points Won
42% (52/123)58% (71/123)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Maya Joint
29.5%
Karolina Muchova
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maya Joint has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maya Joint than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Maya Joint - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (2.81)

    1.36
    (1.41)
    5%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Maya Joint - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Joint will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Muchova will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Joint (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Muchova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Joint is ranked WTA: 32. Muchova is ranked WTA: 21.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Muchova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Muchova is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Maya Joint
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    20.10.2025 Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova Vondrousova M. retired
    08.10.2025 Magdalena Frech - Karolina Muchova Muchova K. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.2 : 0
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.1 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Muchova K. (8)2 : 1
    2Alexandrova E. (3)Kenin S.1 : 2
    3Kalinskaya A. (RET.)Noskova L. (6)0 : 1
    4Mboko V. (9)Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Kenin S.2 : 1
    2Noskova L. (WO.) (6)Rybakina E. (2)

    Final
    1Bencic B. (5)Noskova L. (6)