Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
Usa | NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/524) | 87% (336/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/524) | 87% (336/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (105/148) | 68% (50/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
- 40', 2 - 0, Gonzalez B. ⚽, Ledezma R. (A),
- 45+2', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Leyva A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez I. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 46', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 60', Alvarez E. ↓, Aguirre D. ↑,
- 60', Govea O. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 72', Gonzalez A. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 72', Sandoval S. ↓, Alvarado R. ↑,
- 75', Meraz R. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 75', Esquivel J. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
- 83', Dudu ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 90+1', Castillo J. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara 68.9% | Draw 18.8% | Mazatlan 12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.54) |
4.93 ↑ (4.31) |
7.51 ↑ (5.43) |
6.1% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mazatlan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guadalajara is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Alvarado R.
(Ankle Injury)
Gutierrez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Merolla L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Mazatlan?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan were as follows:
11.04.2025
Mazatlan
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
20.07.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
2:0
16.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:2
26.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
1:3
16.12.2022
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)