Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 0.79 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
82% (288/350) | 75% (247/328) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 7 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 0.79 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.35 | 1.47 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 10 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
82% (288/350) | 75% (247/328) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (23/48) | 39% (21/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (88/126) | 71% (54/76) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (8/26) | 63% (5/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.82 | 0.50 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 64% (14/22) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 52 |
Clearances Total |
---|
9 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.47 | 1.35 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.47 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Wilke T. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 36', Samir Caetano 🟨,
- 43', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Rey L. 🟨,
- 45+4', Amarilla L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 46', Intriago J. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
- 46', Samir Caetano ↓, Almada F. ↑,
- 64', Padilla Y. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
- 68', Pizarro R. ↓, Adame G. ↑,
- 81', Wilke T. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 82', Diaz J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 83', Rey L. 🟨,
- 85', Pulido A. 🟨,
- 86', Pulido A. ↓, Delgadillo D. ↑,
- 86', Alvarado R. 🟨,
- 86', Alvarado R. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 90+1', Rangel R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rangel R. 🟥,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Amarilla L. (Pen),
- 90+6', Colula B. 🟨,
- 90+9', Benedetti N. 🟨,
- 90+12', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan 29.6% | Draw 29.9% | Chivas Guadalajara 40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↑ (2.33) |
3.12 ↓ (3.41) |
2.31 ↓ (2.91) |
6.7% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 1 - 50%). Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 1.
- Recent matches Mazatlan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Guadalajara is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Guadalajara will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
Esquivel J.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Thigh Injury)
Romo L.
(Red Card)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapias M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Mazatlan?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
20.07.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
2:0
16.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:2
26.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
1:3
16.12.2022
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
1:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )