Chivas Guadalajara vs Mazatlan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan
Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaNBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.22
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (459/524)87% (336/388)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.40
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
207
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
88% (459/524)87% (336/388)
Long passes
56% (30/54)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
71% (105/148)68% (50/74)
Crosses
36% (5/14)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.16
Throw-ins
2314
Fouls
1314
Tackles
44% (8/18)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3629
Clearances
2034
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.402.09
Goals prevented
0.400.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 40', 2 - 0, Gonzalez B. , Ledezma R. (A),
  • 45+2', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Leyva A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gonzalez I. , Torres A. ,
  • 46', Zaleta M. , Lainez M. ,
  • 60', Alvarez E. , Aguirre D. ,
  • 60', Govea O. , Gutierrez E. ,
  • 72', Gonzalez A. , Chicharito ,
  • 72', Sandoval S. , Alvarado R. ,
  • 75', Meraz R. , Duarte A. ,
  • 75', Esquivel J. , Fierro S. ,
  • 83', Dudu , Hernandez D. ,
  • 90+1', Castillo J. , Camberos H. ,

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
68.9%
Draw
18.8%
Mazatlan
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 21.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 21.2% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.
  • Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.54)
    4.93
    (4.31)
    7.51
    (5.43)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
    • Guadalajara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mazatlan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Guadalajara is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Alvarado R. (Ankle Injury) Gutierrez E. (Muscle Injury) Mozo A. (Knee Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mazatlan: Merolla L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury) Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno Villegas O. F. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    20.07.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan 2:0
    16.02.2024 Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara 2:2
    26.09.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan 1:3
    16.12.2022 Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan 1:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    27.09.2025 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:1
    23.09.2025 Club León - Mazatlan 2:2
    19.09.2025 Mazatlan - Atlas 1:1
    12.09.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM 1:4
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 14102239:162332
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    8Pachuca1463519:17221
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Atl. San Luis1451820:20016
    11Atlas1544724:33-916
    12UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    13Santos Laguna1442817:23-614
    14Queretaro1442815:25-1014
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    17Necaxa1424815:27-1210
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)