Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (288/350) | 75% (247/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (288/350) | 75% (247/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (88/126) | 71% (54/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 63% (5/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.50 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Wilke T. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 36', Samir Caetano 🟨,
- 43', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Rey L. 🟨,
- 45+4', Amarilla L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 46', Intriago J. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
- 46', Samir Caetano ↓, Almada F. ↑,
- 64', Padilla Y. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
- 68', Pizarro R. ↓, Adame G. ↑,
- 81', Wilke T. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 82', Diaz J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 83', Rey L. 🟨,
- 85', Pulido A. 🟨,
- 86', Pulido A. ↓, Delgadillo D. ↑,
- 86', Alvarado R. 🟨,
- 86', Alvarado R. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 90+1', Rangel R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rangel R. 🟥,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Amarilla L. (Pen),
- 90+6', Colula B. 🟨,
- 90+9', Benedetti N. 🟨,
- 90+12', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
29.6% | Draw
29.9% | Chivas Guadalajara
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.33) |
3.12 ↓
(3.41) |
2.31 ↓
(2.91) |
6.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 1 - 50%). Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 1.
- Recent matches Mazatlan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Guadalajara is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Guadalajara will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
Esquivel J.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Thigh Injury)
Romo L.
(Red Card)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapias M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Mazatlan?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
20.07.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
2:0
16.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:2
26.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
1:3
16.12.2022
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Mazatlan
1:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
