Result
1:0
27/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Chavez M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (194/259) | 85% (439/514) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (194/259) | 85% (439/514) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 64% (47/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (44/72) | 74% (138/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 18% (6/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Sanchez C. 🟨,
- 23', Santos S. 🟨,
- 25', Godinez S. 🟨,
- 40', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Almada F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bautista A. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 46', Idrissi O. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 49', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 56', Rodriguez S. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 56', Dominguez A. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
- 62', Ovalle J. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 69', Dudu ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 75', Santos S. 🟨,
- 79', Rubio B. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 79', Godinez S. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
- 80', Sanchez C. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
27.3% | Draw
27.5% | Pachuca
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mazatlan - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↓
(4.28) |
3.42 ↓
(3.45) |
2.08 ↑
(1.76) |
6.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Pachuca?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Pachuca (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pachuca will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.
- Recent form of Mazatlan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pachuca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pachuca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Fabio Gomes
(Inactive)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Montiel E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Pachuca?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Mazatlan?
Pachuca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Pachuca were as follows:
26.07.2025
Pachuca
-
Mazatlan
1:0
08.03.2025
Pachuca
-
Mazatlan
1:1
23.08.2024
Mazatlan
-
Pachuca
3:0
27.04.2024
Pachuca
-
Mazatlan
1:1
30.06.2023
Mazatlan
-
Pachuca
1:1
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
