Mbarara City vs Calvary – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
24
Corner kicks
12
Total shots
59
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Kamugisha C. ,

Chances of winning


Mbarara City
54.1%
Draw
27.3%
Calvary
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 28.1% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Calvary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Mbarara City - Calvary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.77)
    3.29
    (3.25)
    4.8
    (4.47)
    11.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
    • Mbarara City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mbarara City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mbarara City is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    Latest results of Calvary
    21.01.2026 Police - Calvary 2:0
    07.01.2026 Calvary - Bul 0:1
    17.12.2025 Villa - Calvary 1:0
    09.12.2025 Calvary - Vipers 0:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers17125037:92841
    2Kitara17113325:121336
    3Kampala City18113426:161036
    4Villa17104326:101634
    5Entebbe UPPC18104418:11734
    6Police1895429:20932
    7NEC FC1869320:16427
    8BUL1865718:19-123
    9Maroons1847715:15019
    10Express1847715:18-319
    11Lugazi1846815:24-918
    12URA SC1839616:19-318
    13Buhimba18431115:38-2315
    14Mbarara City1836914:28-1415
    15UPDF18331212:26-1412
    16Calvary1705126:26-205

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League