Mbarara City vs Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Super League Mbarara City - Villa
Result
0:2
16/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
12
Total shots
106
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Kene G. 🟨,
  • 35', Semugera M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Barasa M. , Ssemakula A. ,
  • 46', Yiga N. , Matovu S. ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Ssemakula A. ,
  • 52', Nasur S. 🟥,
  • 52', Owori D. 🟥,
  • 56', Musisi M. , Kitegenyi H. ,
  • 67', Busolo P. , Ahumuza W. ,
  • 67', Kene G. 🟨,
  • 71', Otim A. , Mulimi F. ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Owalamu M. (Own goal),
  • 77', Odongo F. , Ndalambi J. ,
  • 77', Kitegenyi H. , Mafabi Y. ,
  • 83', Hamza M. 🟨,
  • 86', Lwanga C. , Mpande R. ,

Chances of winning


Mbarara City
28.9%
Draw
30%
Villa
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 29.6% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 28.9% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Mbarara City - Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (3.15)
    3.05
    (3.05)
    2.22
    (2.17)
    9.4%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mbarara City won 1.
    • Mbarara City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Villa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Villa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Mbarara City won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:19 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mbarara City won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - Villa were as follows:
    16.09.2024 Villa - Mbarara City 4:2
    30.03.2024 Villa - Mbarara City 2:1
    25.11.2023 Mbarara City - Villa 0:0
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    Latest results of Villa
    10.04.2025 Villa - Mbale Heroes 3:1
    04.04.2025 Bul - Villa 1:0
    29.03.2025 Villa - Vipers 1:0
    18.03.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Villa 0:1
    14.03.2025 Bright Stars - Villa 1:3
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buhimba43014:319
    2BUL42205:148
    3Kampala City42204:228
    4Entebbe UPPC42114:317
    5Lugazi41214:315
    6Police41216:605
    7Villa31114:404
    8Kitara31114:404
    9URA SC40402:204
    10Maroons31112:204
    11Express41123:4-14
    12UPDF31022:3-13
    13NEC FC30213:4-12
    14Mbarara City40224:6-22
    15Calvary30121:5-41
    16Vipers00000:000

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