Result
0:2
16/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Kene G. 🟨,
- 35', Semugera M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Barasa M. ↓, Ssemakula A. ↑,
- 46', Yiga N. ↓, Matovu S. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Ssemakula A. ⚽,
- 52', Nasur S. 🟥,
- 52', Owori D. 🟥,
- 56', Musisi M. ↓, Kitegenyi H. ↑,
- 67', Busolo P. ↓, Ahumuza W. ↑,
- 67', Kene G. 🟨,
- 71', Otim A. ↓, Mulimi F. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Owalamu M. (Own goal),
- 77', Odongo F. ↓, Ndalambi J. ↑,
- 77', Kitegenyi H. ↓, Mafabi Y. ↑,
- 83', Hamza M. 🟨,
- 86', Lwanga C. ↓, Mpande R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mbarara City
28.9% | Draw
30% | Villa
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Mbarara City - Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(3.15) |
3.05
(3.05) |
2.22 ↑
(2.17) |
9.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mbarara City won 1.
- Mbarara City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Villa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Villa will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Mbarara City won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:19 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mbarara City won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Villa?
Mbarara City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against Mbarara City?
Villa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - Villa were as follows:
16.09.2024
Villa
-
Mbarara City
4:2
30.03.2024
Villa
-
Mbarara City
2:1
25.11.2023
Mbarara City
-
Villa
0:0
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buhimba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | BUL | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lugazi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Police | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Villa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | URA SC | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Maroons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Express | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | UPDF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | NEC FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Calvary | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Vipers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
