McCartney Kessler vs Elise Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Hobart McCartney Kessler - Elise Mertens
Result
2:1
10/01/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Hobart (Australia), hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
italyItalySuper Tennis
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
55%67%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (23/38)60% (42/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (20/31)32% (11/34)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)57% (8/14)
1st Return Points Won
40% (28/70)39% (15/38)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (23/34)35% (11/31)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
62% (43/69)51% (53/104)
Return Points Won
49% (51/104)38% (26/69)
Total Points Won
54% (94/173)46% (79/173)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)54% (7/13)
Return Games Won
46% (6/13)25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
60% (15/25)40% (10/25)

Chances of winning


McCartney Kessler
36.1%
Elise Mertens
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • McCartney Kessler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • McCartney Kessler - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.42)

    1.48
    (1.54)
    5.5%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for McCartney Kessler - Elise Mertens?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kessler will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Mertens will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 54%99.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kessler is ranked WTA: 67. Mertens is ranked WTA: 34.
    • At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Mertens will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Mertens to win the game is with odds 1.54.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Yastremska D. (1)Volynets K.2 : 1
    2Stephens S. (WC)Li A. (Q)0 : 2
    3Carle M. L. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    4Kessler M.Sramkova R. (7)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (3)Saville D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bondar A. (Q)Sherif M.2 : 0
    7Tomova V.Minnen G. (Q)0 : 2
    8Wang Xiy. (Q)Avanesyan E. (6)0 : 2
    9Sun L. (5)Kenin S. (WC)1 : 2
    10Blinkova A.Pera B.2 : 0
    11Danilovic O.Joint M. (WC)0 : 2
    12Gracheva V.Linette M. (4)1 : 2
    13Yuan Y. (8)Osorio C.0 : 2
    14Kudermetova V.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    15Zarazua R.Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    16Parrizas-Diaz N. (Q)Mertens E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Yastremska D. (1)Li A.2 : 1
    2Carle M. L.Kessler M.0 : 2
    3Anisimova A. (3)Bondar A.2 : 0
    4Minnen G.Avanesyan E. (6)0 : 2
    5Kenin S.Blinkova A.2 : 1
    6Joint M.Linette M. (4)2 : 0
    7Osorio C.Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Mertens E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Yastremska D. (1)Kessler M.0 : 2
    2Anisimova A. (3)Avanesyan E. (WO.) (6)
    3Kenin S.Joint M.0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V.Mertens E. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kessler M.Avanesyan E. (6)2 : 1
    2Joint M.Mertens E. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kessler M.Mertens E. (2)2 : 1