Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:84
28/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7265
Field goals made
2630
Field goals %
36.11%46.15%
2-point field goals attempts
3243
2-point field goals made
1422
2-point field goals %
43.75%51.16%
3-point field goals attempts
4022
3-point field goals made
128
3-point field goals %
30%36.36%
Free throws attempts
2424
Free throws made
1516
Free throws %
62.5%66.7%
Offensive rebounds
178
Defensive rebounds
2230
Total rebounds
3938
Assists
1613
Blocks
66
Turnovers
1516
Steals
108
Personal fouls
2523

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mega Basket
65.7%
FMP Beograd
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mega Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mega Basket's performance.
  • FMP Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FMP Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FMP Beograd than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Mega Basket - FMP Beograd Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.57)

    2.74
    (2.29)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 177.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Mega Basket - FMP Beograd?
  • Users Predictions: Mega Basket will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • FMP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, FMP has had a series of away games.
    • Mega Basket might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Mega Basket will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1554:1573. (average 77.7:78.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mega Basket won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 735:711. (average 73.5:71.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mega Basket - FMP Beograd were as follows:
    15.02.2026 FMP Beograd - Mega Basket 102:87
    21.05.2025 FMP Beograd - Mega Basket 77:73
    18.05.2025 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 81:86
    19.01.2025 FMP Beograd - Mega Basket 89:87
    29.09.2024 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 83:80
    Latest results of Mega Basket
    22.03.2026 KK Split - Mega Basket 96:74
    19.03.2026 Krka - Mega Basket 78:82
    15.03.2026 Mega Basket - Borac Čačak 95:77
    21.02.2026 Crvena Zvezda - Mega Basket 106:84
    Latest results of FMP Beograd
    22.03.2026 Vienna Basket - FMP Beograd 89:98
    13.03.2026 Ilirija - FMP Beograd 106:101
    15.02.2026 FMP Beograd - Mega Basket 102:87
    Adriatic League Table
    Losers stage
    PlWLPts
    9Spartak Subotica2313101876:185936
    10FMP Beograd2311121937:192734
    11Zadar2310131826:184033
    12Mega Basket2310131980:209633
    13Perspektiva Ilirija239141926:200532
    14KK Krka Novo mesto238151818:188831
    15Vienna Basket238151935:203931
    16Borac Mozzart237161822:193430
    17Studentski Centar236171788:188429
    18Split235181898:212528

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