FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Serbian Superleague Basketball FMP Beograd - Mega Basket
Result
77:73
21/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superleague - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Tomic V. (Srb)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6559
Field Goals Made
2624
Field Goals %
40%40.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4834
2-Point Field Goals Made
2016
2-Point Field Goals %
41.7%47.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1725
3-Point Field Goals Made
68
3-Point Field Goals %
35.3%32%
Free Throws Attempted
2521
Free Throws Made
1917
Free Throws %
76%81%
Offensive Rebounds
128
Defensive Rebounds
2024
Total Rebounds
3232
Assists
1317
Blocks
24
Turnovers
1217
Steals
86
Personal Fouls
2224

Chances of winning


FMP Beograd
55.2%
Mega Basket
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FMP Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Mega Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FMP Beograd than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FMP Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mega Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • FMP Beograd - Mega Basket Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.63)

    2.07
    (2.04)
    7.7%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.25
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for FMP Beograd - Mega Basket?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. FMP (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • FMP Beograd leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FMP won 2.
    • FMP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mega Basket's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • FMP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that FMP will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FMP won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1500:1483. (average 75:74.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, FMP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 789:748. (average 87.7:83.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FMP Beograd - Mega Basket were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 81:86
    19.01.2025 FMP Beograd - Mega Basket 89:87
    29.09.2024 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 83:80
    14.01.2024 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 86:72
    16.10.2023 FMP Beograd - Mega Basket 73:83
    Latest results of FMP Beograd
    18.05.2025 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 81:86
    04.05.2025 FMP Beograd - Crvena Zvezda 93:94
    28.04.2025 KK Budućnost - FMP Beograd 78:69
    Latest results of Mega Basket
    18.05.2025 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 81:86
    16.05.2025 Mega Basket - KK Budućnost 87:92
    11.05.2025 KK Budućnost - Mega Basket 96:80
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1PartizanBye
    3Mega BasketBye
    4FMP BeogradZlatibor108 : 69, 99 : 82
    5Crvena zvezdaBye
    7Spartak SuboticaBye
    8BoracVrsac52 : 93, 91 : 69

    Quarter-finals
    1PartizanBye
    2Mega BasketFMP Beograd0 : 2
    3Crvena zvezdaBye
    4Spartak SuboticaVrsac2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1PartizanFMP Beograd2 : 1
    2Crvena zvezdaSpartak Subotica0 : 2

    Final
    1PartizanSpartak Subotica2 : 0