Result
77:86
24/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 16
- Referee: Rebeusek A. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 66 | 71 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 40.91% | 42.25% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 33 | 41 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 60.61% | 48.78% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 21.21% | 33.33% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 69.6% | 72.7% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
Chances of winning
Ilirija
59.3% | Mega Basket
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilirija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Mega Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilirija that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mega Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ilirija - Mega Basket Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.69) |
|
2.3 ↑
(2.03) |
6.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 174.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mega Basket may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Ilirija will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilirija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 83:109.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilirija won against Mega Basket?
Ilirija has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mega Basket won against Ilirija?
Mega Basket has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilirija - Mega Basket were as follows:
31.10.2025
Mega Basket
-
Ilirija
109:83
Latest results of Ilirija
Latest results of Mega Basket
Adriatic League Table
Losers stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 9 | Spartak Subotica | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1406:1417 | 25 |
| 10 | FMP Beograd | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1427:1472 | 24 |
| 11 | Zadar | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1384:1420 | 23 |
| 12 | Borac Mozzart | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1337:1422 | 23 |
| 13 | Mega Basket | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1457:1587 | 23 |
| 14 | KK Krka Novo mesto | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1347:1413 | 22 |
| 15 | Vienna Basket | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1438:1537 | 22 |
| 16 | Studentski Centar | 17 | 4 | 13 | 1341:1412 | 21 |
| 17 | Perspektiva Ilirija | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1298:1395 | 21 |
| 18 | Split | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1328:1479 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Play~in: )
AdmiralBet ABA League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ ABA League 2
