Cibona vs Mega Basket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Adriatic League Cibona - Mega Basket
Result
83:88
21/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ABA League - Round 28
  • Referee: Karovic E. (Bih)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6564
Field Goals Made
3233
Field Goals %
49.2%51.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4242
2-Point Field Goals Made
2527
2-Point Field Goals %
59.5%64.3%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2322
3-Point Field Goals Made
76
3-Point Field Goals %
30.4%27.3%
Free Throws Attempted
1619
Free Throws Made
1216
Free Throws %
75%84.2%
Offensive Rebounds
57
Defensive Rebounds
2323
Total Rebounds
2830
Assists
2018
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1411
Steals
66
Personal Fouls
2518

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cibona
26.4%
Mega Basket
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 68.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cibona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Mega Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cibona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mega Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cibona - Mega Basket Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.54
    (3.04)

    1.27
    (1.33)
    7.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
  • What is the prediction for Cibona - Mega Basket?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cibona will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Mega Basket will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mega Basket: 68.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cibona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mega Basket (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cibona won 1.
    • Cibona has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Mega Basket is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mega Basket could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Mega Basket is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cibona won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1619:1694 (average 81:84.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cibona won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 820:867 (average 82:86.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cibona - Mega Basket were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Mega Basket - Cibona 88:58
    11.03.2024 Mega Basket - Cibona 80:76
    24.11.2023 Cibona - Mega Basket 69:83
    29.01.2023 Cibona - Mega Basket 72:106
    23.10.2022 Mega Basket - Cibona 93:100
    Latest results of Cibona
    18.04.2025 KK Zadar - Cibona 85:71
    13.04.2025 Cedevita Olimpija - Cibona 96:81
    11.04.2025 Cibona - KK Split 74:87
    09.04.2025 Cedevita Junior - Cibona 103:87
    07.04.2025 Cibona - Crvena Zvezda 81:107
    Latest results of Mega Basket
    05.04.2025 Borac Čačak - Mega Basket 76:80
    30.03.2025 Mega Basket - KK Zadar 75:74
    09.03.2025 Mega Basket - KK Budućnost 93:79
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Buducnost (1)Mega Basket (8)2 : 0
    2Crvena zvezda (4)Igokea (5)2 : 0
    3Partizan (2)Spartak Subotica (7)2 : 0
    4Dubai (3)Cedevita Olimpija (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Buducnost (1)Crvena zvezda (4)2 : 1
    2Partizan (2)Dubai (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Buducnost (1)Partizan (2)1 : 3