Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.011.46
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
64
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Passes
70% (288/411)76% (349/461)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.011.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.581.10
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
312
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
89
Shots outside the box
49
Hit the woodwork
03
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
514
Passes
70% (288/411)76% (349/461)
Long passes
30% (20/66)27% (14/51)
Passes in final third
53% (46/87)59% (91/155)
Crosses
36% (4/11)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.73
Throw ins
3431
Fouls
145
Tackles
58% (14/24)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3533
Clearances
3015
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
1.101.58
Goals prevented
-0.900.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Ayres M. , Allan J. (A),
  • 67', Bates E. , Adams C. ,
  • 71', Henry B. 🟨,
  • 71', Adams C. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Keane A. , Roestbakken K. (A),
  • 80', Brown K. , Allan L. ,
  • 83', Hoban S. 🟨,
  • 87', Henry B. , Jugovic K. ,
  • 90+7', Karipidis Z. , Page O. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Turner D. , Roestbakken K. (A),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
22.1%
Draw
23.3%
Melbourne City
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 23.1% 56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 22.5% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.18
    (4.45)
    3.97
    (3.94)
    1.69
    (1.61)
    8.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Melbourne City is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1.
    • In recent matches, Newcastle Jets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Melbourne City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Newcastle Jets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 11:52. (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 0.4:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets 1:3
    11.04.2025 Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets 4:1
    08.02.2025 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City 0:2
    27.04.2024 Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets 3:0
    21.04.2024 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City 0:3
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Australian A-League Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W20124436:201640
    2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:172134
    3Canberra W2094730:24631
    4Brisbane Roar W2094737:39-231
    5Adelaide W2093824:26-230
    6Melbourne Victory W2084827:24328
    7Central Coast Mariners W2077627:26128
    8Perth W20731020:30-1024
    9Newcastle W20721130:36-623
    10Sydney W2047918:29-1119
    11WS Wanderers W20541118:34-1619

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          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)