Melbourne Demons vs Sydney Swans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 01:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 4

Match Stats


Goals
19	12
Behinds
17	6
Kicks
225	189
Handballs
172	146
Disposals
397	335
Frees For
22	14
Frees Against
14	22
Clearances Completed
41	42
Marks
83	72
Tackles
89	81
Hitouts
36	50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (21 - 13)
01:42, Gawn M. (G),
09:17, (Behind Rushed),
14:59, Fritsch B. (Behind),
15:46, Pickett K. (G),
18:23, Ladhams P. (G),
20:44, Melksham J. (G),
22:31, (Behind Rushed),
24:49, (Behind Rushed),
27:29, Ladhams P. (G),
2nd Quarter (26 - 12)
00:37, Langford H. (Behind),
02:31, Heeney I. (G),
04:28, Petracca C. (G),
06:43, Petracca C. (Behind),
07:50, Sparrow T. (G),
10:34, Hamling J. (G),
13:51, Salem C. (Behind),
17:25, Pickett K. (G),
19:17, Chandler K. (Behind),
19:55, Pickett K. (Behind),
22:08, Melksham J. (Behind),
23:36, Pickett K. (Behind),
28:22, Melksham J. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (34 - 20)
00:29, Pickett K. (G),
02:25, Blakey N. (G),
06:24, Gawn M. (Behind),
07:41, (Behind Rushed),
09:44, Hayward W. (G),
11:27, Cleary C. (Behind),
15:35, Hayward W. (Behind),
17:32, Pickett K. (G),
20:40, Fritsch B. (G),
22:31, Salem C. (G),
24:54, Pickett K. (Behind),
26:52, Pickett K. (G),
28:24, Petracca C. (Behind),
30:33, Campbell B. (G),
4th Quarter (50 - 33)
00:55, Heeney I. (G),
02:44, Petty H. (G),
04:35, Pickett K. (Behind),
05:36, Mills C. (G),
08:25, Cleary C. (Behind),
09:13, Sharp H. (G),
11:33, Oliver C. (G),
16:02, Heeney I. (G),
17:12, Sparrow T. (Behind),
17:38, Sparrow T. (G),
21:05, Sharp H. (G),
23:44, Melksham J. (G),
26:46, Fritsch B. (G),
28:23, Cleary C. (Behind),
32:24, Warner C. (G),
34:54, Melksham J. (G),
36:28, McLean H. (G),
38:49, Campbell B. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Melbourne Demons
50.3%

Sydney Swans
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Demons's performance.

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Demons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Swans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.24)		1.86 ↑ (1.65)	7.9% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

What is the prediction for Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:85.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.
Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 992:1219. (average 62:76.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 674:846. (average 67.4:84.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Sydney Swans?

Melbourne Demons has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sydney Swans won against Melbourne Demons?

Sydney Swans has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans were as follows:

07.03.2024 Sydney Swans - Melbourne Demons 86:64

27.08.2023 Sydney Swans - Melbourne Demons 56:77

02.04.2023 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 134:84

02.09.2022 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 69:91

Latest results of Melbourne Demons

18.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons 88:99 ✺

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

03.05.2025 West Coast Eagles - Melbourne Demons 76:108 ✺

24.04.2025 Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers 83:63 ✺

18.04.2025 Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers 107:97 ✺

Latest results of Sydney Swans

16.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 78:62 ✺

10.05.2025 Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans 71:63 ✺

03.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants 87:73 ✺

26.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 117:79 ✺

20.04.2025 Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power 77:85 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	20	15	0	5	2019:1401	144.11	60
2	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	20	13	0	7	1764:1500	117.60	52
6	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
7	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
8	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
9	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

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