Melbourne Demons vs Sydney Swans: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans
Result
131:78
25/05/2025 at 01:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 11
Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1912
Behinds
176
Kicks
225189
Handballs
172146
Disposals
397335
Frees For
2214
Frees Against
1422
Clearances Completed
4142
Marks
8372
Tackles
8981
Hitouts
3650

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (21 - 13)
  • 01:42, Gawn M. (G),
  • 09:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:59, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 15:46, Pickett K. (G),
  • 18:23, Ladhams P. (G),
  • 20:44, Melksham J. (G),
  • 22:31, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:49, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:29, Ladhams P. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 12)
  • 00:37, Langford H. (Behind),
  • 02:31, Heeney I. (G),
  • 04:28, Petracca C. (G),
  • 06:43, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 07:50, Sparrow T. (G),
  • 10:34, Hamling J. (G),
  • 13:51, Salem C. (Behind),
  • 17:25, Pickett K. (G),
  • 19:17, Chandler K. (Behind),
  • 19:55, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 22:08, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 23:36, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 28:22, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (34 - 20)
  • 00:29, Pickett K. (G),
  • 02:25, Blakey N. (G),
  • 06:24, Gawn M. (Behind),
  • 07:41, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:44, Hayward W. (G),
  • 11:27, Cleary C. (Behind),
  • 15:35, Hayward W. (Behind),
  • 17:32, Pickett K. (G),
  • 20:40, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 22:31, Salem C. (G),
  • 24:54, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 26:52, Pickett K. (G),
  • 28:24, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 30:33, Campbell B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (50 - 33)
  • 00:55, Heeney I. (G),
  • 02:44, Petty H. (G),
  • 04:35, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 05:36, Mills C. (G),
  • 08:25, Cleary C. (Behind),
  • 09:13, Sharp H. (G),
  • 11:33, Oliver C. (G),
  • 16:02, Heeney I. (G),
  • 17:12, Sparrow T. (Behind),
  • 17:38, Sparrow T. (G),
  • 21:05, Sharp H. (G),
  • 23:44, Melksham J. (G),
  • 26:46, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 28:23, Cleary C. (Behind),
  • 32:24, Warner C. (G),
  • 34:54, Melksham J. (G),
  • 36:28, McLean H. (G),
  • 38:49, Campbell B. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Demons
50.3%
Sydney Swans
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Demons's performance.
  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Demons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Swans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.24)

    1.86
    (1.65)
    7.9%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.
    • Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 992:1219. (average 62:76.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 674:846. (average 67.4:84.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans were as follows:
    07.03.2024 Sydney Swans - Melbourne Demons 86:64
    27.08.2023 Sydney Swans - Melbourne Demons 56:77
    02.04.2023 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 134:84
    02.09.2022 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 69:91
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    5Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    6Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    7Western Bulldogs159061582:1203131.5036
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1541101152:146778.5318
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 4
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