Melbourne Demons vs Sydney Swans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
65:21
17/10/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL Women - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
93
Behinds
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 18)
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 2)
  • 3rd Quarter (20 - 1)
  • 4th Quarter (6 - 0)

Chances of winning


Melbourne Demons
72.6%
Sydney Swans
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

84.1% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Demons's performance.
  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Swans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.65)

    3.03
    (2.1)
    7.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 86.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    Preview Facts
    • Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sydney is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Hawthorn Hawks W (4)42 : 3
    4Adelaide Crows W (6)St Kilda W (7)60 : 16
    5Melbourne Demons W (2)Brisbane Lions W (3)43 : 56
    8Carlton Blues W (5)West Coast Eagles W (8)60 : 19

    Quarter-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Bye
    2Melbourne Demons W (2)Adelaide Crows W (6)60 : 49
    3Brisbane Lions W (3)Bye
    4Hawthorn Hawks W (4)Carlton Blues W (5)33 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Melbourne Demons W (2)46 : 36
    2Brisbane Lions W (3)Carlton Blues W (5)67 : 32

    Final
    1North Melbourne W (1)Brisbane Lions W (3)56 : 16