Melbourne Victory Youth vs Melbourne Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights
Result
1:2
30/06/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
38
Corner Kicks
88
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
1012
Corner Kicks
88
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Wall P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 70', 1 - 1, Lawless S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Bramwell C. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory Youth
35.3%
Draw
23.9%
Melbourne Knights
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 23.6% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 19.6% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory Youth's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Knights's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (1.76)
    3.81
    (3.86)
    2.23
    (3.68)
    10%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Victory Youth will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Melbourne Knights will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Knights (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).
    • Recent form of Victory Youth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Melbourne Knights has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Melbourne Knights may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Victory Youth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights were as follows:
    21.03.2025 Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Victory Youth 1:2
    Latest results of Melbourne Knights
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC26194366:273961
    2Heidelberg Utd26176355:253057
    3Dandenong Thunder26165560:322853
    4Oakleigh Cannons26154758:332549
    5Preston Lions26145740:281247
    6Dandenong City261010651:381340
    7Hume City261151042:40238
    8Green Gully26871139:42-331
    9South Melbourne26771229:46-1728
    10Altona Magic26761328:38-1027
    11St Albans26761345:56-1127
    12Melbourne Victory U2126531836:60-2418
    13Port Melbourne Sharks26451724:64-4017
    14Melbourne Knights26431928:72-4415

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League