Melbourne Mustangs vs Adelaide Adrenaline: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline
Result
8:4
29/06/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 13:54, 1 - 0, Jones S. (G), Ponomarev N. (A),
  • 2nd Period (4 - 1)
  • 03:19, 2 - 0, Dunkley N. (G), Roy M. (A), Wishart T. (A2)
  • 04:01, 2 - 1, Boyle Z. (G), Nekludovs R. (A),
  • 07:26, 3 - 1, Warren J. (G), Timmins S. (A), O'Kane P. (A2)
  • 07:54, 4 - 1, Timmins S. (G), Dunkley N. (A), Ponomarev N. (A2)
  • 09:01, 5 - 1, Dunkley N. (G), Timmins S. (A), Clare T. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 3)
  • 08:45, 6 - 1, Roy M. (G), Dunkley N. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
  • 11:33, 7 - 1, Wishart T. (G), Timmins S. (A), Roy M. (A2)
  • 13:19, 7 - 2, Boyle Z. (G), Nekludovs R. (A), Benson N. (A2)
  • 15:20, 7 - 3, Adkins J. (G), Best S. (A), Boyle Z. (A2)
  • 17:46, 7 - 4, Best S. (G), McGuiness R. (A),
  • 18:53, 8 - 4, Roy M. (G),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Mustangs
73.2%
Draw
13.3%
Adelaide Adrenaline
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 15.4% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 15.2% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Mustangs's performance.
  • Adelaide Adrenaline has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Mustangs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Adrenaline than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.36)
    6.76
    (5.95)
    6.66
    (5.34)
    11.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne Mustangs is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 103:53. (average 5.2:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Mustangs won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:30. (average 5.2:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline were as follows:
    24.05.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline 5:2
    11.05.2024 Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs 2:7
    12.08.2023 Adelaide Adrenaline - Melbourne Mustangs 5:2
    29.07.2023 Melbourne Mustangs - Adelaide Adrenaline 5:2
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice2116230139:6855
    2Brisbane Lightning18914485:8933
    3Perth18912693:7531
    4Melbourne Mustangs19820991:8128
    5CBR Brave17720888:8825
    6Newcastle18630987:8724
    7Adelaide184021258:10214
    8Central Coast Rhinos192221368:11912

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