Melbourne Mustangs vs Brisbane Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning
Result
8:4
02/08/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AIHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 03:17, 0 - 1, Miller C. (G), Hopps T. (A), Wanat A. (A2)
  • 05:36, 0 - 2, Fodor J. (G), Miller C. (A), Campbell B. (A2)
  • 06:57, 1 - 2, Roy M. (G), O'Kane P. (A),
  • 10:46, 2 - 2, Jones S. (G), Ponomarev N. (A),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 02:36, 3 - 2, Cutter T. (G), Ponomarev N. (A),
  • 09:37, 4 - 2, Lindal B. (G), Klomp D. (A),
  • 10:05, 5 - 2, Hayden D. (G),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 2)
  • 06:16, 6 - 2, Dunkley N. (G), Klomp D. (A),
  • 08:14, 7 - 2, Giorgi M. (G), Dunkley N. (A), Klomp D. (A2)
  • 09:06, 8 - 2, Dunkley N. (G), Lindal B. (A),
  • 10:33, 8 - 3, Miller C. (G), Hopps T. (A), Gendunov B. (A2)
  • 18:13, 8 - 4, Rapchuk S. (G), Miller C. (A), Hopps T. (A2)

Chances of winning


Melbourne Mustangs
44%
Draw
19.1%
Brisbane Lightning
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 16.7% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 16.3% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.98)
    4.79
    (5.4)
    2.48
    (2.37)
    9.3%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Melbourne Mustangs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Melbourne Mustangs has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:34. (average 4.9:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Mustangs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:15. (average 5.6:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs 9:6
    07.06.2025 Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs 5:3
    13.04.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning 4:3
    01.06.2024 Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs 4:1
    26.05.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning 1:2
    Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice2518232161:9361
    2Perth2313127130:8443
    3Newcastle24113010125:10539
    4CBR Brave2211209116:10837
    5Melbourne Mustangs25102013109:11334
    6Brisbane Lightning2491410108:13333
    7Adelaide227021377:11323
    8Central Coast Rhinos232221774:15112

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