Result
1:8
26/07/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 00:40, 0 - 1, Klugerman R. (G),
- 18:45, 0 - 2, Tallberg K. (G), Klugerman R. (A), Darge W. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 4)
- 09:20, 0 - 3, Darge W. (G), Klugerman R. (A), Hawes E. (A2)
- 13:31, 0 - 4, Skachkov Y. (G),
- 17:26, 0 - 5, Nadin P. (G), Tallberg K. (A),
- 19:44, 0 - 6, Tallberg K. (G), Darge W. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 08:16, 0 - 7, Kubara C. (G), Darge W. (A), Hawes E. (A2)
- 15:54, 1 - 7, Astafiev A. (G), Clare T. (A), Ponomarev N. (A2)
- 18:54, 1 - 8, Drolet F. (G), Skachkov Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Mustangs
26.6% | Draw
17% | Newcastle North Stars
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Mustangs's form might have worsened.Newcastle North Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle North Stars's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Mustangs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle North Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.49) |
5.46 ↑
(4.85) |
1.64 ↓
(2.08) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 9.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Newcastle North Stars will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 2.
- Melbourne Mustangs has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Newcastle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Melbourne Mustangs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Melbourne Mustangs has had a series of away games.
- Newcastle might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 80:90. (average 4:4.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Mustangs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:38. (average 4.1:4.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Mustangs won against Newcastle North Stars?
Melbourne Mustangs has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle North Stars won against Melbourne Mustangs?
Newcastle North Stars has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Mustangs - Newcastle North Stars were as follows:
06.07.2025
Melbourne Mustangs
-
Newcastle North Stars
5:8
21.06.2025
Newcastle North Stars
-
Melbourne Mustangs
7:4
27.04.2025
Newcastle North Stars
-
Melbourne Mustangs
3:8
10.08.2024
Newcastle North Stars
-
Melbourne Mustangs
9:2
20.07.2024
Melbourne Mustangs
-
Newcastle North Stars
5:1
Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
Latest results of Newcastle North Stars
Australian Ice Hockey League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne Ice | 25 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 161:93 | 61 |
| 2 | Perth | 24 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 133:90 | 43 |
| 3 | CBR Brave | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 122:111 | 40 |
| 4 | Newcastle | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 125:105 | 39 |
| 5 | Melbourne Mustangs | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 109:113 | 34 |
| 6 | Brisbane Lightning | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 108:133 | 33 |
| 7 | Adelaide | 22 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 77:113 | 23 |
| 8 | Central Coast Rhinos | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 74:151 | 12 |
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