Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
140:170
12/01/2026 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Big Bash League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Cricket
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Cricket
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Cricket
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Cricket

Chances of winning


Sydney Thunder
43.9%
Melbourne Renegades
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Melbourne Renegades has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Thunder than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Renegades than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.13)

    1.67
    (1.69)
    6.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 335.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thunder won 4.
    • Thunder has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Renegades has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Thunder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Renegades is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Thunder won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2544:2476. (average 141.3:137.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Thunder won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1410:1345. (average 141:134.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades were as follows:
    30.12.2024 Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades 156:148
    17.01.2024 Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades Abandoned
    19.01.2023 Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades 144:142
    18.12.2022 Melbourne Renegades - Sydney Thunder 175:174
    Latest results of Sydney Thunder
    Latest results of Melbourne Renegades
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)147 : 99
    4Hobart Hurricanes (3)Melbourne Stars (4)114 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Bye
    2Sydney Sixers (2)Hobart Hurricanes (3)198 : 141

    Final
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)133 : 132